Record Rain Monday & More Is Coming

It’s the middle of January and well into winter, yet I’m talking about a record rain event to kick off our week.

After an icy start Monday morning, we picked up 0.86″ of rain in the Quad Cities.  That was a record amount of rain for January 16th.

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It was also more rain than we saw for the entire month last January.  We only picked up 0.44″ of rain (and melted snow) in January 2016.

It was also the most rain in one day in the Quad Cities in three months.  On October 6, 2016, we recorded 1.10″ of rain.

Rain

We have another system coming in Thursday night and Friday with rain and more rain is expected by Sunday.

Anthony

Dangerous Icing Tonight & Early Monday

UPDATED POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 6:09 p.m.

Right now, light freezing rain is being reported from Ottumwa to Fort Madison, Iowa, to Macomb, Illinois.

Here is a recent radar image.  The main area of freezing rain (purple) is moving off to the east-northeast.

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In the afternoon update, all of eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois will be under the “Winter Weather Advisory” at some point tonight into Monday.

The importance of this is that all of us will see freezing rain.  The only differences across the area will be the start and end times for the “Advisory”.  That also coincides with the timing of when the worst of the icing will be taking place.

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With that being said, just go through this list of Iowa and Illinois counties until you find yours and that’ll let you know the hours when the worse icing will take place.

The “Winter Weather Advisory” is already underway for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.  This will expire at 9 a.m. Monday.

Knox and Stark counties in Illinois will go into the “Advisory” at 6 p.m. Sunday and this will run through noon Monday.

From midnight Sunday through noon Monday, the “Advisory” covers Cedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Bureau, Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The “Advisory” now starts at 3 a.m. Monday through noon Monday for Clinton and Jackson counties in Iowa and for Carroll and Whiteside counties in Illinois.

It also runs from 3 a.m. to 3 p.m. Monday for Jo Daviess County, Illinois.

Anthony

UPDATED POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 11:21 a.m.

The start time for the “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) for some of us has been pushed back again.

 

It still goes into effect at 3 p.m. today through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

It now runs from midnight Sunday through noon Monday for Cedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The “Advisory” now starts at 3 a.m. Monday through noon Monday for Clinton and Jackson counties in Iowa.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 6:45 a.m.

The highly-anticipated ice storm I’ve been talking about for over a week now will arrive later today.

The worst of the icing and hazardous driving conditions will be Sunday night and the first half of Monday.

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Winter advisories and warnings Sunday extend from the Rockies (for heavy snow) to Iowa and Illinois (for mostly ice).

This winter storm is still located over the southwestern United States and is already bringing icy weather to the Plains early Sunday morning.

As of this posting, the heaviest icing in still across southern Missouri and Kansas. This will be moving northeast today.

If you still have errands to run or if you’re heading off to church, most of Sunday morning is still expected to be dry.

The start times for the advisories remain unchanged from my Saturday evening update.

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A “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) goes into effect at 3 p.m. today through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

The “Advisory” runs from 6 p.m. today through noon Monday for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois.

And,  the “Advisory” starts at 9 p.m. Sunday and expires at noon Monday for Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

Ice Ray

WINTRY MIX START TIMES

While there may patchy light snow, sleet, or freezing rain moving in late morning, I think our southern hometowns from around Fairfield and Burlington, Iowa, to Monmouth and Galesburg, Illinois, will see the more general wintry mix begin around 2-5 p.m.

The more concentrated wintry mix and icing event moves northward to the Quad Cities and along and south of Interstate 80 from around 5-8 p.m. Sunday.

It should reach northern hometowns by midnight and this may be mostly light snow there, at first.

As temperatures warm south to north Sunday night, the wintry mix will become mostly a freezing rain event.

Temperatures by late morning Monday will be rising above freezing, so rain will fall and the ice will slowly melt.  However, it may take until early afternoon for this to occur.  I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the “advisories” are extended into Monday afternoon.

ICE AMOUNTS

I’m still expectng around one-tenth of an inch of ice to accumulate for most of us.

The heaviest coating of ice, up to one-quarter of an inch, will be to the southwest of the Quad Cities.

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One final note is that winds are not going to breezy with this storm, so even when we get a coating of ice on trees limbs and power lines, it won’t be whipping them around increasing the chances of power outages.

The bottom line is that most of Sunday morning is still expected to be dry.  You still have some time to run to the store to buy last minute groceries or supplies!

Snow's a comin'

Also, it’s always wise to have plenty of gas in your car in case you’re in an accident.  You’ll want to be able to turn the heat on, occasionally, until service crews and rescuers get to you.

I’ll monitor the start of the wintry mix and icing and update you, as needed, today.

Anthony

Icing Event Begins Later Sunday

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 3:54 p.m.

I hope everyone is having a great weekend.  Here’s my final update for the day.  I’ll have another one early Sunday.

First off, the latest models continue to slow the onset of the wintry mix Sunday.

The start time for the advisories will coincide with the start of the wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

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A “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) will go into effect Sunday into Monday for most of eastern Iowa and west-central Illinois.  This replaces the “Winter Storm Watch” that was to go into effect Sunday.

The “Advisory” will run from 3 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

For Knox and Stark counties in Illinois, the “Advisory” runs from 6 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday.

And, for the rest of the counties included in the “Advisory”, it runs from 9 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday.

Those counties are Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The bottom line is the worst of the freezing rain and icing will be Sunday night through mid-morning Monday!

I’m still thinking we’ll see between one-tenth and one-quarter of an inch of ice!

Anthony

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 9:39 a.m.

Just a quick note before you read the details of Sunday’s ice storm below.  The main event and the worst of the storm will be Sunday night and early Monday.

The storm, as expected, is still showing signs of slowing down even more.

Have a great weekend and read on to be prepared.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 6:17 a.m.

The much anticipated ice storm is still coming Sunday, but it’s not likely to arrive for most of us until later in the day.

I talked about this in my Friday afternoon update and after looking at the new information this morning, I think we’ll have a few more ice-free hours Sunday.

 

A “Winter Storm Watch” goes into effect Sunday.

Locally, this “Watch” runs from 6 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday, except for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois.  There, the “Watch” begins at midnight Saturday and runs through 6 a.m. Monday.

At the bottom of the map you see a fuchsia and purple shading.  Those counties are under a “Freezing Rain Advisory” (fuchsia) and “Ice Storm Warning” (purple).

Later today or early Sunday morning, I expect our “Winter Storm Watch” to be changed to either a “Freezing Rain Advisory” or a “Winter Weather Advisory”.

Now, let’s talk about when this all starts and how much ice we’re expecting.

A light wintry mix may begin Sunday morning across the far south.

Hometowns from Ottumwa and Burlington, Iowa, to Galesburg, Illinois, could see a combination of snow, sleet, and freezing rain begin around midday Sunday.

For the Quad Cities and hometowns along and just south of Interstate 80, that wintry mix will start in the afternoon (4-7 p.m.).

Areas north of the metro area may see mostly snow for a while once it starts Sunday evening.

This wintry mix will transition to all freezing rain Sunday night and early Monday morning from south to north as temperatures warm overnight.

By mid-morning Monday, temperatures will be warming into the 30s and then the low-40s by afternoon, so it’ll be all rain and the ice will begin to slowly melt.

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As you can see by this colorful map, the highest chance of seeing at least a tenth of inch of ice will be from the Quad Cities south and southwestward.

As you head south into those higher numbers, ice amounts could be closer to one-quarter of an inch.

Ice Ray

That’s a lot of ice!

Driving will be very hazardous Sunday night and early Monday.  Trees and power lines will have a heavy coating of ice, which could cause power outages and interruptions to cable, phone, and internet services.

While the ice might be pretty to look at, this is a very dangerous situation.

The only silver lining is that winds are not expected to be strong during this icing event at around 6-12 miles-per-hour.

I’ll have another update later Saturday.

Warmer temperatures are on the way starting Monday.  By the end of the next week, we could see highs in the 50s!

Anthony

Ice Storm Threat Sunday

UPDATED POST:  Friday, January 13, 2017, 4:12 p.m.

After looking over the evening data, the only real change is that the system may slow down just a little more.

This means the wintry mix will probably start around late morning Sunday across the far south and early afternoon as you move more to the north.

Also, the start times for the “Winter Storm Watch” are now midnight Saturday for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois, 6 a.m. for the rest of our southern hometowns (Louisa, Mercer and Henry counties southward), and noon Sunday for the Quad Cities and areas northward.

Ice accumulation totals will be in the one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch range.

I’ll have another full weather update for your early Saturday morning.

Have a great weekend!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Friday, January 13, 2017, 5:27 a.m.

It’s not just Friday, it’s Friday the 13th!

With that in mind, I do have some ominous new details on the late weekend winter storm that’ll likely be a significant ice storm for much of our area and for the middle of the country.

Quiet conditions are expected today, tomorrow, and early Sunday.  However, there may be a light wintry mix across our southern hometowns late tonight and early Saturday.  This could cause some slick driving conditions.

As the details on this late weekend storm come together, a “Winter Storm Watch” goes into effect early Sunday through early Monday morning for almost of Iowa, a large portion of Illinois, including the Quad Cities, and the Plains.

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Once this storm comes together and we get closer to the start of it, I expect much of that “Winter Storm Watch” to be upgraded to an “Ice Storm Warning”.

Those warnings are already in place for parts of downstate Illinois, Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma for this weekend.

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Here’s how things are looking for Sunday as of this morning.

Now, keep in mind that this’ll likely change as we head into the weekend.  The timing could be moved up or pushed back and the areas of heavy ice accumulation may shift some to the north or south.

A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will develop late Sunday morning or early in the afternoon and become more likely by Sunday evening.

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This will be a common sight Sunday night as we transition to all freezing rain!  That’s when we’ll see road conditions deteriorate as ice glazes everything.

Significant icing is likely with one-quarter of inch not out of the question.

That’s the bad news because this is going to be a dangerous situation.

The good news is that by Monday, highs will be warming into the 40s and this becomes all rain and the ice begins to melt.

Even warmer temperatures are likely next week.  By the end of next week, we could hit 50° or the 50s!

But, we have to get through the late weekend ice storm first.

While I don’t work this weekend, I’ll have updates in my blog and on my Facebook page!

Be safe!

Anthony

Weekend Ice Storm Threat Building

UPDATED POST:  Thursday, January 12, 2017, 3:49 p.m.

Details on the potential late weekend ice storm are still coming together.  The specifics will likely change some more as we head into the weekend.

A “Winter Storm Watch” has been issued for late Saturday night into late Sunday night for many of the counties just to the south of the Quad Cities.

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Right now that includes Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Louisa, and Washington counties in Iowa and Henderson, Knox, Mercer, Stark, and Warren counties in Illinois.

By the time we get to the weekend, I’m thinking that this “Winter Storm Watch” will be upgraded to an “Ice Storm Warning”.  Those warnings are already in place for parts of downstate Illinois, Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma for the weekend.

Also, I think the Quad Cities will be included in future updates.

I still think parts of the area will see some light snow or a wintry mix Friday night, but the big event — possible significant icing — arrives late Saturday night into early Monday morning.

Be sure to join me Friday from 5-7 a.m. on “Local 4 News This Morning” for the latest information.

And, while I’m not working this weekend, you know I’ll have updates on my blog and on my Facebook page!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Thursday, January 12, 2017, 5:50 a.m.

It’s been an interesting overnight and early Thursday morning with thunder and lightning, sleet, and freezing rain for hometowns south and east of the Quad Cities.

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Several flashes of lightning moved through Knox County around 2-3 a.m. Thursday.

This brought a glaze of ice that coated roadways, sidewalks, and cars making for a messy morning commute.

This will move out quickly this morning and we could see some sun break through the clouds Thursday afternoon.

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Our next disturbance arrives Friday night into early Saturday.  This one will bring light snow and light freezing drizzle.

For the past week or so, I’ve been telling you about a bigger storm coming late in the weekend.  That’s still on the way, but our computer models are still not agreeing on the path or timing of the storm.

With that being said, I still expect a wintry mix Sunday and Sunday night that could bring a dangerous accumulation of snow and ice.

By Monday, temperatures warm to around 42° and I’m forecasting the wintry mix early that morning to change to all rain during the day into the evening.

It’ll end as a light wintry mix Monday night or early Tuesday morning.

Since there are still many variables with this late weekend storm this far out, plan on hazardous conditions later this weekend and keep up on the latest forecast.

Temperatures next week will be rather mild for January.  Highs will warm into the low-to-mid-40s.

Anthony

Listen Up! This Might Be About You!

Opinions, social media, professionalism, and tolerance are at the forefront of my thoughts today and I just have to vent.

We all have opinions and we express them to our friends and to people we might not even know through social media.  Facebook, I’m looking at you.

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I have two Facebook pages — one personal and one professional.  On my personal page, I share my thoughts, my travels, my family, and so on.  On my work page, I only share weather updates and weather-related stories.

Clearly, some of the 3,550 “friends” I have on my personal page are linked to the wrong page.  It’s taken this divisive election and its aftermath for some to see that.

You clearly need to “like” my professional page if you want my accurate forecasts and updates without my personal opinions!

Let me share some personal things about me:  I love my family, my job, my real friends (in person and online), wine, champagne, vodka, desserts, buffets, and the f-word.

The bottom line is that I’m human and I’m not perfect.  As we all know, I’m not alone.

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Because of my profession, I’ve developed a thick skin over the years, but people can still occasionally get under it.  Trust me, that f-word comes to mind and it does come out. But, because of work and that I’m a “southern gentleman”, I publicly suppress it.

Two days ago, a woman told me I was just as bad as Donald Trump.  Seriously, that makes me want to LOL.  Never in my life have I uttered or even thought, “grab her by the p—y”!!!

For the record, there are very few things that Donald Trump and I have in common:  I’m sure we’re anatomically similar and, in 1993, I used sun-in on my brown hair and instead of getting the desired ginger-color I was going for, my hair turned a shade of orange!  The horror!  The horror!

I guess where we’re most similar is that we both hold grudges — I forgive, but I don’t forget!

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Sorry, I got sidetracked there.

And, then yesterday, I had my own Meryl Streep/post-Golden Globe moment.

A Facebook “friend” posted on my page:  “I think it’s about time that you quit whining also I’ve heard enough of crap I’ve heard enough from you he will be our president like it or not accept it for what it is your complaining is not going to change a thing spend a little more time doing your weather instead of complaining give the man a chance”

Trust me, I didn’t change the incoherent thought process, the run-on sentences, and the lack of punctuation in the post!  (I did highlight for you where he gave me work advice.)

So, let’s clear up some things.  March will mark my seventh year on Facebook.  I only had a personal page then and not a professional page.

If you’re one of those people that sent a friend request because you know me as a television meteorologist, but you don’t want me to have opinions and share them, you have two options: (1) like my professional page where you’ll only find weather and unfriend me on my personal page, or (2) just unfriend me on my personal page.

I don’t send Facebook “friend request” to people.  In the seven years on the site, I can count on two hands the number of people I’ve sent a “friend request” to and they’re “celebrities”.

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I look at Facebook as my online “home”.  Since I’m not a bobble head or a “bubble headed bleached blonde [who] comes on at five”, I’ll continue to share my opinions with people that visit.

If you don’t like what I have to say or you disagree, I allow you to express that diplomatically.  But, when you hijack my page with a long string of comments or are rude to me or my other guests, I definitely don’t want to be your “friend” and I’m more than happy for you to go away!

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With that being said, I want the country to survive the next four years.

However, that doesn’t mean I should keep my thoughts about him or his presidency to myself.  I know you’ve heard the all the things said about President Obama over the past eight years and about Hillary Clinton for the past thirty years!

You can’t have it both ways!

Recently, someone I trust dearly said to me, “For someone who talks tolerance, that wasn’t very tolerant”.

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It got me to thinking and I’ll quickly expand on that.  When I talk “tolerance”, it’s not a wide umbrella that encompasses everything.

For me, it’s human rights and equality.  No one person — regardless of race, sexual orientation, sex, religion or lack of religion, age, financial status, and the list goes on and on — is better than another person.

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There are people that recite passages from that good book about being made in his image and then there’s the document that this country was built on that mentions “all men are created equal”.

Those things may be true, but it doesn’t matter if we don’t extend courtesy to our fellow man.  Basic human rights are what I’m talking about when I speak of “tolerance”. However, I draw the line with ignorance.  That’s not under my umbrella of “tolerance”!

If you’ve made it this far, when you visit my blog or my social media “home”, show that your mother raised a decent child and be diplomatic.

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Just as I can’t wrap my head around the fact that you may have voted for Trump, you’re probably thinking the same thing about me and my love for Hillary Clinton.

I’m a “Hillary flunky” (Trump-ism there) and if that’s too much for you to handle, then grow a pair and just unfriend me.  Or, if I post something you don’t like about #45, then scroll on by the comment and carry on with your day.

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Anthony

Three Chances This Week for Rain, Snow, & Ice

UPDATED POST:  Tuesday, January 10, 2017, 6:00 a.m.

The first of three weather systems is bringing a mild start to your Tuesday.

Highs today will top out in the 40s to near 50° in the Quad Cities and for southern hometowns.

Light rain is likely through early afternoon.  It’ll start changing over to a wintry mix to the northwest of the Quad Cities and spread eastward as temperatures crash into the 30s and then the 20s this evening.

The wintry mix will end as light snow early tonight.

Winds this afternoon will reach 30-40 miles-per-hour with gusts to 50 mph.

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The second weather system will bring a wintry mix to the area Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday.

And, finally, we could see a one-two punch this weekend with the strongest of the disturbances.

Light snow or a wintry mix is likely Friday night into early Saturday.

After a lull in the activity Saturday afternoon and Saturday night, the strongest of the low pressure systems brings a moderate accumulation of snow, ice, or a cold rain for Sunday and Monday.

Some models have the storm to the northwest of us, which would warm us and give us mostly rain with some ice.

Other models have the storm closer to us with colder air and more snow and ice.

At this point in the game, expect a potent storm with the potential to cause hazardous conditions for Iowa and Illinois this weekend.

Watch for updates as we go through the week.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Monday, January 9, 2017, 5:45 a.m.

The quiet weather pattern that’s dominated for the past couple of weeks will be coming to an end as three different storm systems bring a potpourri of weather this week.

 

The first of those weather systems will bring above average temperatures into the 30s today and 40s tomorrow and early Wednesday.

Drizzle and fog develops across eastern Iowa and northern Illinois tonight and with temperatures below or near freezing from Interstate 80 northward, there could be some freezing drizzle.

This icing threat will be short-lived as temperatures warm quickly above freezing early Tuesday with light rain and highs in the 40s.  By the time the rain ends Tuesday night, it could briefly change back to light snow.

Another weather system arrives Wednesday night into early Thursday.  This one looks to be mostly a light snow event.

As I told you last week, I was watching a storm system for next weekend.  This one still looks the most promising for those of you wanting an accumulating snow.

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While there are many pieces of the weather puzzle that have to come together, the storm system this weekend may arrive in two waves — Friday night and Saturday and then Saturday night and Sunday.

This will have to be watched closely because it could bring a sticking snow, but it could also bring ice to the area.

Ice Ray

Stay tuned on the latest weather developments this week.

Meteorologist Anthony Peoples