Would You Prefer A Rain/Snow Mix or a Freeze?

While many of us remember or have heard of Monty Hall’s “Let’s Make a Deal”, I’m more familiar with Bob Barker’s “The Price is Right”.  If you were the big winner going into the  “Showcase Showdown”, you could look at the first showcase and bid on it or pass it to the runner-up.  That’s how I feel about the weather next week.

This morning we woke up to a cold 39°, which is still warmer than the average of 34° in late March and earlier this week, Monday’s above average high of 59° seemed downright chilly since we’ve enjoyed highs in the 60s, 70s, and 80s since March 10th.

Temperatures this March are running 15.1° above average and this will go down in the record books as the warmest March on record in the Quad Cities and those records date back to the 1870s!

Showers and storms later today, tonight, and Friday will hold highs in the 60s, but warmer temperatures are on the way this weekend with a near record high Sunday in the low-to-mid-80s.

However, some big changes are on the way.

This is NOAA’s GFS model for Tuesday afternoon at 1 p.m. from last evening.

Notice that blue line southwest of the Quad Cities, that is the freezing line of temperatures at 5,000 feet above the ground.  That could translate to highs in the 40s or 50s for us.

The green would be rain, snow, or a rain/snow mix over the Great Lakes and northern Illinois.

The latest models from this morning are backing away from bringing that really cold air down this far.  However, it’s still days away and things will change many times before then.

The bottom line is this:  We could see some very chilly air for a couple of days next week (Monday night to Wednesday) and maybe again late next weekend into early the following week (April 8-10th).

So, if this model is correct, the first showcase would offer clouds, a chance of rain or snow, and temperatures in the 30s, 40s, and 50s.  And, if the cold air does come down and the clouds break up, we could experience a frost or possible freeze.

The second showcase would keep the really cold air north and it’ll just be a little chilly here.  I’ll take this scenario.  I don’t want a frost, freeze, or any snow at this point in the season.

More 70s and 80s please, so things will continue to bloom and grow.

Peeps

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2 responses to this post.

  1. Well I agree with your second choice…but I’ve seen it snow and freezing cold on Easter. The saying is March goes out like a lamb and April comes in like a LION. Hope we have the nice weather we have been having to continue…have to wait & see. This is the first year my Lilac tree has ever had this many blooms and smells so Good. Please,please don’t bringing in freezing weather.

    Reply

  2. Posted by karen mckee johnston on March 29, 2012 at 10:57 am

    love the beautiful pic 2nd choice please if we can’t keep our lovely weather

    Reply

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