This Man Could Cost Mitt Romney The 2012 Election (& It’s Not President Obama)

There is a Republican that I would vote for, but, unfortunately, he doesn’t stand a chance.  However, he will shape the outcome of the 2012 Election.

An average of the latest polls posted on Real Clear Politics shows that President Barack Obama and his Republican challenger Mitt Romney are pretty much neck and neck in the 2012 race with President Obama up less than three points at 48.1% to 45.4%.  (At this point in 2008, Barack Obama had a 7.6% lead over John McCain.)

Those percentages will fluctuate until the first presidential debate on October 3rd and it’ll be interesting to see what happens after the vice presidential debate eight days later.

Let me introduce or re-introduce you to former (January 1, 1995-January 1, 2003) two-time Republican New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson.  This man will be instrumental in whether Barack Obama wins a second term as president or if the Republicans take back the White House.

Johnson will be running on the Libertarian ticket this election.  He’s still awaiting a decision in Michigan and Oklahoma of having his name put on the November ballot.  If he succeeds, he will be the ONLY challenger to President Obama and Governor Romney in all 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC).

Meanwhile, the Green Party ticket of Jill Stein and Cheri Honkala will appear on ballots in, at least, 33 states and DC.

Gary Johnson’s running mate is Judge Jim Gray of Newport Beach, California.

So, what are Johnson’s political views?  He’s fiscally conservative, he believes in limited government and military non-interventionism (which means he wants to stay away from alliances with other nations that could involve us in wars that are not for direct territorial self-defense).

He’s opposed to foreign wars and says he’ll cut military budgets 43% in his first presidential budget.

Johnson received the highest score of any presidential candidate from the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU).  He announced in 2011 that he’s for same-sex marriage, he criticized President Obama’s May announcement that while he believe in marriage equality, it should be thrown back to the states to decide, and Johnson wants a constitutional amendment to protect equal marriage rights!

Johnson is pro-choice when it comes to abortion and he’s opposed to the Patriot Act.

And, there are people who believe in his message.  A recent CNN poll (9/10/12) that finally added Johnson and Green candidate Stein to the polling shows that both candidates are scoring points:

Barack Obama (D) – 50%
Mitt Romney (R) – 41%
Gary Johnson (L) – 4%
Jill Stein (G) – 2%

And, the news gets even better for Johnson if you believe polling.  Zogby International, a leading polling firm in the United States, released this information about Johnson:

  • 10.1% of Independent Voters plan to vote for him
  • 7.5% of Hispanic voters plan to vote for him
  • 7.0% of 18-29 year-old voters plan to vote for him
  • 5.9% of 30-49 year-old voters plan to vote for him

It’s going to be a tough road for Johnson.  While he really doesn’t stand a chance of winning the 2012 election, he will shape the outcome of this fall’s race like Independent candidate Ross Perot did twenty years ago.

Most will not deny that the 19% of the popular votes that Perot earned in 1992 likely put Democrat Bill Clinton in the White House and kept Republican George H.W. Bush from earning a second term.  Clinton won that race with 43% of the popular vote to Bush’s 37.5%.

I recently read that a vote for Johnson is one vote against President Obama and two votes against Mitt Romney, which basically means that if more people vote for Johnson and he loses, chances are that Romney will lose, too.

Could that be true?  Consider the battleground states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin.  In each of those states, polls show that the two leading candidates (Obama and Romney) have leads of only 0.2% to 4.8%.

If you throw Johnson in the mix, that could easily sway the race.  Arizona is currently leaning toward Romney.  However, a recent poll there shows Johnson picking up 9% of the vote.  That could turn Arizona blue.  In New Mexico, where Johnson was the former governor, he is polling at 13% and while the state is leaning toward President Obama, that’s a huge percentage that could turn the state red.

You will definitely be hearing a lot more about Gary Johnson (and Jill Stein) in the next seven weeks.  And, I would not be surprised to hear Mitt Romney not only going after President Barack Obama, but also Libertarian Gary Johnson.

Anthony

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One response to this post.

  1. again, romney has for the most part got us confused with someone that actually cares what he thinks or says. ROMNEY IS A BABBLING IDIOT THAT CAN’T REMEMBER WHAT HE HAS SAID AND WHEN HE HAS SAID IT, MUCH MORE WHERE HE HAS SAID IT. HE IS DOOMED.

    Reply

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