AFTERNOON UPDATE: Saturday, February 23, 4:40 p.m.
The afternoon GFS model has shifted the low pressure system that will be moving out of the southern Plains northward. If this trend verifies and continues over the next day or so, it looks as though snow totals Monday night and Tuesday will be higher than previously thought this morning.
This is the map for Tuesday morning at 9 a.m. That blue and green indicates moderate to heavier snow.
I’ll definitely be keeping my eyes on this one!
ORIGINAL POST: Saturday, February 23, 2013 8:39 a.m.
The weekend is here! Did you get to sleep in this morning? I was wide awake at 7 a.m., which is a good thing because beginning Monday, March 4th, I’ll be waking up at 1:30 a.m. to get ready to go to work. Time to make the doughnuts.
It’s not really that bad outside early this Saturday morning.
I went out and checked on the fish and they’re doing just fine. Today, I’m going to scoop more snow into the fish pond to keep the water level up (although there isn’t a lot of evaporation taking place). Don’t worry that putting snow in the pond might freeze them or cause them to go into shock, the de-icer keep the water warm enough to prevent that and the snow melts pretty quickly!
Quiet weather is expected this weekend with nothing more than a few stray snow flurries today with highs near 30°. Sunday will feature more sunshine and highs 30-35°.
Now, let’s talk about this “Mega Storm” coming in early next week. Oh, did I get your attention there? My apologies for scaring you like that. There’s some snow on the way, but it’s the Midwest and I know we can handle it. Kidding aside, here’s how things should play out two to three days out.
Low pressure will be coming out of Texas Monday. It now looks as though the rain and snow mix on Monday will not develop until late Monday night.
The latest data coming in does take this storm out of the Southern Plains to Indiana to the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday. This path would keep the biggest threat of more significant snows mainly to the east of the Quad Cities. Parts of northeastern Iowa may miss out on snow altogether!
The bottom line three days out is that we’re going to have snow late Monday night, but a better chance Tuesday and more light snow is possible into Wednesday. At this point, a few inches of snow are possible, but I’m just going to watch it and I’ll alert you if the track veers more to the northwest. If that were to happen (and tracks always seem to change closer to the storm), we could see more snow than I expect now.
As of Saturday morning, the only “Winter Storm Watch” for Sunday night and Monday is well to the southwest of the Quad Cities.
So, the eggs, milk, bread, and toilet paper supply that you bought for the last storm should keep you in good shape with the system coming in early next week.
Have a great weekend.