Another Winter Storm On The Way!

MONDAY UPDATE:  March 4, 2013, 10:27 a.m.

Snowfall Forecast

SUNDAY EVENING UPDATE:  March 3, 2013, 5:28 p.m.

Hello friends!  The timing of the “Winter Storm Watch” has changed and there is now a “Winter Weather Advisory” north of the Quad Cities late Sunday night through Monday evening.  However, the bottom line is that snow will be moving in overnight tonight to the north and west and throughout Monday.

Some accumulation is expected area wide through Monday evening with the heaviest up around Dubuque and Maquoketa, Iowa, and Galena, Illinois.  But, the heaviest snow for the rest of us will come Monday night and Tuesday.

I’m still looking for the possibility of 6″+ of snow in the Quad Cities, northward across Illinois, and northwestward into Iowa with lesser amounts southeast of the Quad Cities.

For specific numbers (snotals — snow totals) for this two-day storm, join me tomorrow morning from 5-7 a.m. on CBS4!!!!!!!!!!!!

Anthony

UPDATED:  Sunday, March 3, 2013, 7:49 a.m.

Happy Sunday everyone!  After a chilly morning with lows in the single digits and the teens across the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys, we’ll see plenty of sunshine today with increasing afternoon high clouds and highs around 30-35°.

Light snow will develop across Iowa tonight and should be moving into the Quad Cities by daybreak Monday.  I expect light snow Monday and Monday night with moderate snow possible Tuesday.

As of Sunday morning, here are the counties under a “Winter Storm Watch” for Monday and Tuesday.

Let me point out something that has people who live in Knox and Stark counties confused.  They look at this and say “wish we were getting snow in Galesburg” or “no snow in Knox County?”

That isn’t the case.  You will be seeing snow from this system.  The problem lies with the fact that those two counties are under the Lincoln National Weather Service office and not the Quad Cities.  So, it’s up to that NWS office to issue a “Winter Storm Watch” and they haven’t.

By the way, here’s an updated map from NOAA on the chances of seeing up to eight inches of snow Monday morning through Wednesday morning.

If you now scroll down to the bottom of this blog, you can see the forecast from last night and how much or how little it has changed.

As it looks now (and yesterday) and there’s no reason to change my forecast, “a good starting point is a widespread 6″ or more of new snow Sunday night through Tuesday!”

I’ll continue to watch this and give you update this evening before I get a few hours of sleep before my big weather debut tomorrow morning!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, March 2, 2013, 4:00 p.m.

Beautiful sunshine on this Saturday and the snow is beginning to melt.  However, that’s deceiving because the highs near 30° are about 12 degrees below average for early March!

Sunny Melting Snow

Another mostly sunny day is expected Sunday with highs in the mid-30s.

That’s when the next storm begins to affect the area with increasing clouds Sunday night with some light snow developing across Iowa.

Snow is expected to become widespread early Monday and last into Tuesday.  Since this could be another long-lasting snow event, accumulations could easily start adding up!  Remember that the snow that started last Tuesday and lasted through Friday dropped, officially, 9.4″ in the Quad Cities in at the airport in Moline, Illinois.

A “Winter Storm Watch” has already been issued for much of the eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois from Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon.  That’s indicated by the blue coloring on this map.

If you have travel plans across the Midwest, you can see by this map that we are not the only ones under the “Winter Storm Watch”.  That pink over North Dakota is a “Winter Storm Warning”.

I expect light snow to start late Sunday night and for it to snow all day Monday and Monday night.

Here is NOAA’s GFS forecast map for noon Monday.  Notice that one shade of darker green over eastern Iowa.  That’s the snow I’m expecting through Monday night.  However, look off toward the Dakotas.  That’s more snow in the darker greens.

I think the heaviest of the snow will fall Tuesday based on what I’m seeing right now.  Here’s the NAM forecast for 6 a.m. Tuesday.  Those darker greens indicate moderate to heavy snows.

And, here is the 6 a.m. GFS model showing pretty much the same thing with heavier snow Tuesday.

While the beginning of the snow is still more than a day away, it’s too early to put final numbers on this storm.  However, a good starting point is a widespread 6″ or more of new snow Sunday night through Tuesday!

Here’s a forecast map showing the likelihood of up to 8″ of snow from NOAA.  This is not my forecast, just another product to look at it.  The darker blues indicate where the heaviest snows will likely fall and that’s very closer to the Quad Cities.

I’ll watch this upcoming snow event for the rest of the weekend and give you an update Sunday.

And, what’s even more exciting, I get to bring this forecast to you on television Monday morning bright and early at 5 a.m. when I start as the morning meteorologist on “CBS4 This Morning”.

Anthony

P.S.  You want some good news if you don’t like snow?  Warmer temperatures are expected next weekend with 30s and 40s!

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12 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Cindy on March 2, 2013 at 4:06 pm

    Whoo hoo!!! Bring it on!!! Any chance it may track a little further south and we get the really heavy snow amounts??

    Reply

  2. Posted by Cinchy on March 3, 2013 at 7:58 am

    Happy Sunday Peeps !

    We missed out on all the snow with the last one … hope we get a little more with this one!
    And what a great way for you to start your first day on air at Channel 4 with a winter storm !!!
    We can’t wait to see you tomorrow morning !!!!

    CC

    Reply

    • CC,

      I can’t believe you got so little snow the last time. I think you might get more this time than us.

      Thank you for coming along with me for the ride.

      Take care, my friend.

      AP

      Reply

  3. Happy Sunday to you, Anthony! I just have to point out that this winter has been pretty mild…..but I noticed that it seems we started getting these snows once you were officially re-employed. I understand wanting to make up for lost time, but c’mon…no more snow would be fabulous!! LOL Totally kidding by the way, not going to blame you for this stuff that falls from the sky (though if you have an in with the weather gods, spring could start anytime, really). hehe I hope you have a great rest of your weekend!

    Jenna

    Reply

    • Jenna,

      This winter has been pretty mild and relatively snow free until late February.

      Is there a correlation between me getting a job and more snows? 🙂

      You have a great rest of the weekend, too.

      AP

      Reply

  4. Posted by Teresa on March 3, 2013 at 5:24 pm

    I’m glad to learn you didn’t leave the QC area. I have missed your kind smile and
    and look forward to seeing you again on Channel 4. Best wishes to you.

    Reply

    • Teresa,

      Thank you very much. I was staying here with my family, regardless if I got to stay in television weather or not.

      But, everything worked out just as I thought it would.

      I appreciate the kind words and I’m happy you’re coming along for the ride at CBS4 with me.

      Take care and keep in touch.

      AP

      Reply

  5. Posted by Sally on March 3, 2013 at 5:47 pm

    Anthony, good luck in your new venture tomorrow. Please work on bringing in some nice Spring weather this month,

    Reply

  6. Posted by Lou Jensen on March 4, 2013 at 9:17 am

    I’m so glad to see you back at work- I usually don’t watch channel 4 weather but now I will turn it on Every Morning_ Congrats!!!!!

    Reply

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