Posts Tagged ‘blowing snow’

Spring Forward Into Snow!

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, March 11, 2017, 4:51 p.m.

Here’s a quick update for Sunday and Monday’s snow event.

wsw.jpg

A “Winter Storm Watch” goes into effect Sunday evening through Monday evening for the counties shaded in blue.  This includes the Quad Cities.  It’s basically for counties along and north of Interstate 80.

A “Winter Storm Watch” means that conditions are favorable and confidence is building for significant snow accumulation.  This is the time to prepare.

It’s usually the case that this “Watch” will become a “Winter Storm Warning”, a “Winter Weather Advisory”, or a “Snow Advisory” before the snow starts to fall tomorrow.

The latest data Saturday evening is coming in snowier, so I’ve upped the snow totals for some hometowns, especially across the north.

PM Sat Snow Totals.jpg

I’ll have another update Sunday morning.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, March 11, 2017, 5:30 a.m.

“Mother Nature” definitely makes life interesting.

After the second warmest February on record in the Quad Cities with six straight days of record highs of 69°-74° and two tornado outbreaks in Iowa and Illinois in the past two weeks, “Snow Miser” blasts back into area later Sunday into Monday.

Snow Miser

A clipper system will drop through the Midwest Sunday afternoon and Monday bringing moderate snow to the area.

It’s likely the Quad Cities will see more snow with this system than what accumulated in January and February combined!  (We only picked up 2.7″ of snow in Moline, Illinois, and 2.6″ in Davenport, Iowa, so far, in 2017!)

Parts of Iowa are already under a “Winter Storm Watch” for Sunday afternoon through Monday evening. I expect watches and advisories to cover eastern Iowa and northern Illinois before the snow event begins.

This forecast is based on Saturday morning data and I’ll continue to update this throughout the weekend, as needed.

Snow will break out across eastern Iowa later Sunday afternoon.  That snow will likely reach the Quad Cities by midnight.

This is the forecast map for 6 a.m. Monday.  Notice the tightly packed lines around the low-pressure system.  That means it’ll be windy, so we’ll have to deal with blowing snow, too.

Monday 6am

Snow becomes lighter later Monday as it spreads south and east across Illinois.

The snow event ends Monday night even though a few stray flurries are still possible Tuesday morning.

Here are the snowfall amounts I’m forecasting.  Keep in mind that these numbers could shift north or south this weekend as newer information comes in.  I’ll adjust my forecast accordingly.

Snow Forecast Sunday & Monday.jpg

So, just find your hometown and that’s how much snow you’ll have to shovel.  The kids may finally get to build a “snowperson” and go sledding after a boring winter without much snow!

The good news is that the first half of the weekend will be quiet to give you a chance to get your errands done!

I hope the stores stocked up for the run on milk, eggs, bread, and toilet paper!  (I guess “Bumble” can’t be trusted with fragile eggs!)

Snow's a comin'

Finally, while I don’t believe in the fairy tale of “Punxsutawney Phil”, the Pennsylvania groundhog that predicted six more weeks of winter, some people do (I’m looking at you, James!)

Jimmie the Groundhog Wisconsin

When the snow starts flying later Sunday, it’ll have been 5 weeks and 3 days since “Phil” saw his shadow and made his snowy forecast — just inside the “six more weeks of winter” window! 🙂

Anthony

Dangerous Wind Chills Tonight & Sunday

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, December 17, 2016, 1:12 p.m.

Good Saturday afternoon!

Two things to point out on this 1 p.m. update.

1pm

The snow is closing in on the Quad Cities.

Also, ahead of the front that’s bringing the snow, we’re around 20°.

Behind this front, it’s already 0° across northwestern Iowa and the winds chills are around -15° to -20°.

We’re still under a “Winter Weather Advisory” until midnight Saturday for about one to three inches of wind-blown snow.

wwa

Also, Saturday night and Sunday, as temperatures drop well below zero Saturday night and much of Sunday, the gusty winds will produce dangerous wind chills of -20° to -40°.

All of early Iowa and northern Illinois are under either a “Wind Chill Advisory” or a “Wind Chill Warning” from 9 p.m. Saturday through noon Sunday.

 

Brace yourself.

Anthony

Snow & Ice Likely Friday & Saturday

UPDATED POST:  Friday, December 16, 2016, 4:37 p.m.

Light freezing rain and light snow are already being reported across Iowa and Illinois Friday afternoon. This will make roadways slippery tonight.

After a break in the wintry mix later tonight into Saturday morning, a strong cold front blasts through the area early Saturday afternoon and temperatures crash into the single digits shortly after dark and well below zero into Sunday morning.

This front will also bring several hours of light to moderate snow and this is when we’ll see our main accumulation.  Unfortunately, it’ll also be blown around by strong winds causing driving nightmares.

Snowfall totals below are still on target.

I’ve also been talking about the dangerous wind chills that will rush in as the storm departs.

Here are the counties that will be under a “Wind Chill Advisory” and a “Wind Chill Warning” from 9 p.m. Saturday through noon Sunday.

It’ll feel like -20° to -40° during this time!

Be safe out there this weekend!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Friday, December 16, 2016, 5:49 a.m.

The third weekend winter storm in as many weeks gets underway Friday and will last through much of Saturday.

Bitterly cold temperatures and dangerous wind chills follow Saturday Night through Monday morning.

A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect at noon Friday across our northern hometowns and for the rest of the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys Friday evening.  This advisory runs through midnight Saturday.

wwa

After a quiet Friday morning, light snow will develop in our western and southwestern hometowns later this morning.  The snow spreads across all of the area Friday afternoon into Friday night and early Saturday.

It’s looking more likely that warmer air will be pulled into this system along and south of Interstate 80.  This will cause the snow to mix with and change over to sleet and then freezing rain.

Across our northern hometowns, it’ll stay in the form of snow.

We get a break from the snow and wintry mix Saturday morning, but snow will re-develop again by Saturday afternoon and last for about six hours.

This is when we’ll see most of our snow accumulation.  The snow ends by midnight Saturday night.

snow-12-16-16

The heaviest snow will be from Maquoketa, Iowa, to Mount Carroll, Illinois, northward.  Four inches or more will accumulate there.

Along Interstate 80 and in the Quad Cities, I still think 2-4″ of new snow will fall.

South of the Quad Cities from around Burlington, Iowa, to Monmouth and Galesburg, Illinois, an inch or two will fall, but they’ll also see some light ice accumulations.

BITTER COLD FOLLOWS

On top of the snow (and ice) accumulations, bitterly cold temperatures and dangerous wind chills return.

When you wake up Sunday and Monday mornings, lows will be around -10° in the Quad Cities and even colder to the north.

Once you factor in the wind, it’s going to feel like -20° to -40°.  It only takes minutes for frostbite to set in.

Highs Sunday will stay below zero to the north and near zero in the Quad Cities.  Southern hometown will rise to the single digits.

By the middle of next week, temperatures will rebound back into the 30s.

Anthony

Another Snowy Weekend

UPDATED POST: SATURDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2016 — 8:08 p.m.

Officially, through 6 p.m., 1.7″ of snow fell this afternoon in Moline and 1.4″ accumulated in Davenport. More snow is on the way tonight and Sunday.

Anthony

UPDATED POST: SATURDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2016 — 3:17 p.m.

Snow is already falling across southeastern Iowa and west-central Illinois this afternoon. It’ll reach the Quad Cities by early evening.

The “Winter Weather Advisory” has been upgraded to a “Winter Storm Warning” across our northern hometowns.

Warning.jpg

I’m still looking at the same totals you see below, but I think it’ll be on the higher end of the range.

There  will be isolated higher totals.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST: SATURDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2016 — 7:30 a.m.

Greetings from the Port of New Orleans, Louisiana.  I’m on my way home and I’ll be happy to see some snow since I missed last weekend’s big snow.

A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect this afternoon and runs through Sunday evening  in the purple-shaded counties.

dvn

Light snow will develop this afternoon and become heavier tonight through midday Sunday.

Snowfall accumulations along and just north of Interstate 80, which will include the Quad Cities, will be around 2″-5″.

Northern hometowns, closer to Wisconsin, could pick up 5″-8″.

Meanwhile, our southern hometowns, that aren’t under the “Winter Weather Advisory”, will likely only see a dusting to a couple of inches.

Along with the snow, we’ll see wind and blowing snow.

Unlike last week, this snow will likely stick around next week.

If you thought this past week was cold, wait until the middle and end of next week.  Highs will likely only be in the teens and lows could drop below zero!

I’ll be monitoring the snow situation today from the airports on my two flights home.   I’ll update you when I can.

And, I’ll see you bright and early Monday morning on “Local 4 News This Morning” from 5-7 a.m.  (Thanks Ashe for filling in for me last week.)

Anthony

March Starts Out Snowy

UPDATED POST:  Monday, February 29, 2016, 4:08 p.m.

Snow is still on the way later tonight and early Tuesday, but the start time will be delayed until late this evening.

The storm will begin as a wintry mix of rain, snow, sleet, and freezing rain across the north and it’ll move southward toward the Quad Cities.

It’ll transition to all snow north by this time and it’ll be in the midnight to 6 a.m. time period when the changeover to snow happens for the metro area.

The start of the “Winter Weather Advisory” and the “Winter Storm Warning” has also been pushed back to 9 p.m.  It still runs through 9 a.m. Tuesday.

As for snowfall amounts, I’m leaning more to the lower side of the ranges that I presented this morning.

While there could be an isolated 6″ total north, most totals will be 3-5″.  In the Quad Cities and north of Interstate 80, an inch or two seems more likely.

More snow is likely Wednesday night and Thursday.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Monday, February 29, 2016, 5:32 a.m.

You know you live in the Midwest when you have record warmth one day and a winter storm the next day.

After reaching 66° in the Quad Cities Sunday tying the record high for the date, snow is on the way Monday night and early Tuesday.

We’ll enjoy one more warm day Monday with highs well into the 50s.  Some southern hometowns may hit 60° again.

A wintry mix develops across northern hometowns Monday evening and this will start out as rain across southern hometowns.

As a cold front pushes south and low pressure moves across Missouri, colder air will be drawn into the system and that combination of rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow Monday evening will be changing over to snow for most of the area.

A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect at 6 p.m. Monday through 9 a.m. Tuesday for Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones counties in Iowa and Carroll and Whiteside counties in Illinois.

Additionally, a “Winter Storm Warning” has been issued Jo Daviess and Stephenson counties in Illinois.

Snowfall amounts will be heaviest across the far north in the “warning” area. 3-6″ may fall there.  Along Interstate 80 northward, 1-3″ seems more likely.  South of I-80, hometowns may see anywhere from a trace to an inch.

There’s still some uncertainty as to where the heavy snow bands will set up.  That 3-6″ range could shift north or south some later today.  Stay up on the latest forecast.

Along with the snow, gusty winds are also going to make it more wintry and more difficult for travelers.

Anthony

 

Happy (Snowy) Valentine’s Day

UPDATED POST:  SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 2016, 6:07 p.m.

Final official snow total in the Quad Cities:  4.6″ in Moline.

Sterling, Illinois, picked up 5″.

Anthony

UPDATED POST:  SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 2016, 2:05 p.m.

It’s still snowing rather nicely in the Quad Cities.  We have about two more hours to go before it diminishes to light snow or flurries.

Here are a few updated snow totals:  4.1″ Colona (IL); 3.0″ Moline (IL); 3.0″ Iowa City (IA) and 2.5″ Fort Madison (IA).

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 2016, 7:00 a.m.

I hope you all have a great Sunday and Valentine’s  Day.  Enjoy your day whatever it is you choose to do.

Some light snow fell late Saturday night into early Sunday morning.  That was from the leading edge of warmer air gliding into the area aloft.

Officially, in the Quad Cities in Moline, Illinois, we picked up 0.4″ from midnight to 6 a.m.  Around 2″ accumulated around Burlington, Iowa.

Here’s where our heavier snow for today was located around daybreak.

Morning Radar.jpg

Light to moderate snow will fall from this morning to early afternoon and begin to wind down as flurries tonight.

In addition to the falling snow, winds will be rather brisk causing blowing and drifting snow.

I’m still thinking we’ll see anywhere from 3-5″ of snow, which I’ve been saying for days now.

Sunday Snowfall Amounts

The only real change is that it’ll be our southern hometowns that might be the big winners when the final totals come in.  Some locations may see isolated 6″ totals.

A couple of days ago and even early yesterday, it looked like northern hometowns may see the most.  Now, 4″ there might be the high end of the forecast.

Be safe!

I’ll see you bright and early Monday for “Local 4 News This Morning” from 5-7 a.m.

Anthony

Valentine’s Day Snow Storm On Track

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, February 13, 2015, 4:25 p.m.

While on the chilly side, it wasn’t a bad Saturday with morning sunshine giving way to clouds.

If you’re going out for dinner Saturday, go for it.  The evening hours look snow free.

The rest of the blog is in good shape — from the timing (later tonight and Sunday) and the amounts (generally 3-5″ of wind-blown snow).

After a quiet Presidents’ Day Monday, more light snow will fall Tuesday.  We could have some accumulation then, but warmer weather arrives by the end of next week!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, February 13, 2015, 7:48 a.m.

It’s going to be a decent, but cold, Saturday with highs only in the teens.

After that, we focus our attention this Valentine’s Day weekend to a clipper system late Saturday night and Sunday that will bring a blanket of snow and plenty of wind.

 

A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect from 9 p.m. Saturday through 6 p.m. Sunday for all of eastern Iowa and for much of northwestern and west-central Illinois.  (The “Advisory” starts at 3 a.m. for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois.)

Light snow will spread across Iowa later today and it’ll reach parts of eastern Iowa by late evening.  If you have dinner plans Saturday evening, I think you’re in good shape.

For the Quad Cities area, our snow really doesn’t kick in until the overnight hours of Saturday night with most of our accumulating snow falling Sunday.

From the morning through the afternoon hours, the snow will be light to moderate.  In addition to that, gusty winds will cause considerable blowing and drifting snow and reduced visibilities.

The snow will begin winding down by evening and end as flurries Sunday night.

My snow forecast is pretty much the same as what I shared Friday evening, 3-5″, with a little more to the north and a little less to the south.  The final snowfall amounts will likely be on the heavy side of the ranges I’m showing here.

 

With the wind, the cold (highs in the 20s Sunday) and the snow, it’s going to be slippery and wintry Sunday, Sunday night, and early Monday.

For those wanting snow, this is perfect for you.  If you’re not a fan and are ready for spring, I have good news for you.  Highs will go above freezing Monday and Tuesday and the snow will start melting away.

By the end of next week, we could have highs approaching 50 degrees!

Anthony

Valentine’s Day Snow Storm

Happy Friday!  It’s finally here and the bright sunshine looks great out there if it wasn’t for the howling winds.

Bitterly cold temperatures are coming in tonight and when you wake up Saturday morning, lows will be around -2° in the Quad Cities and even colder to the north.

However, once you factor in the wind, most of us will have wind chills in the -15° to -25° range.

Morning sunshine Saturday will give way to cloudy skies by afternoon and light snow will break out Saturday night.

The heaviest of the snow with the storm will fall Sunday.

For several days now, I’ve been telling you that this storm would be bringing in several inches of snow and for the past two days on “Local 4 News This Morning”, I called for 3″+ of snow.

This was the timeline I gave Friday morning for the storm.

Snow Potential

Well, now that we’re just a day or so away from the start of the snow, the data is newer and the snowfall amounts can be more specific than 3″+.

After conferring with my colleague Andy McCray, we’re thinking 3-5″ of snow for much of the area late Saturday night through Sunday night.

sNOW sUNDAY

Slightly higher amounts are expected across the far north and lesser amounts across the far south.

I’m actually buying into this snow being on the “high end” of those ranges.  So, several 5″ totals are pretty realistic at this point.

It’ll be rather windy, so there’ll be a lot of blowing and drifting of snow Sunday into Monday

I’ll have another update Saturday morning to let you know if anything changes overnight. Make sure to keep up on the latest forecast.

Snow's a comin'

Except for the bitter cold, Saturday will be a great day to run errands.  That way, you can enjoy Valentine’s Day and the snow Sunday!

Anthony

More on Saturday’s Snow

UPDATED POST:  Friday, January 8, 2016, 4:23 p.m.

Snow lovers, you’re not going to be too happy.  Those not wanting much in the way of snow can start dancing around with joy.

After looking at the latest American models with the incoming storm system, it looks like we’re still going to see snow Saturday afternoon and Saturday night in the transition to colder air, but not much.

My colleague, Andy McCray, and I agree on lowering the snow amounts even more from this morning.

So, here’s the updated snow forecast.

New Snow Map

If anything shifts in the thinking overnight, I’ll update you Saturday morning.

Have a great weekend.

Anthony

 

ORIGINAL POST:  Friday, January 8, 2016, 5:05 a.m.

Light rain, fog, and mild temperatures Friday will give way to colder air and snow Saturday.

Much colder weather arrives Saturday night into early next week with a few days with highs only in the teens and lows in the single digits.

After a transition from rain early Friday night to a rain and snow mix to light snow late Friday night from the first storm system passing by, our attention will then be directed to another low pressure system coming out of the southern Plains.

It’s still trending far enough southeast of our area that we’ll only see a glancing blow from the snow Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.

Snow Saturday 1-9

In the Quad Cities, we’ll see about an inch of snow, maybe two inches.

To the east of the metro area around Princeton and Galesburg, Illinois, amounts will be closer to 2-4″.

More snow, around 5″, is possible around Chicago.

Winds will be a problem later Saturday, Saturday night, and Sunday, which will cause blowing snow and visibility issues.

Also, much colder temperatures arrive by Sunday morning.  When you wake up, it’ll be around 10° and wind chills will be below zero.

Highs Sunday will only be in the low-to-mid-teens with wind chills near zero.

While we’ve definitely seen bigger snows, this is still a snow event to take seriously because there will be accumulations, wind, and much colder temperatures.

Anthony

Saturday & Sunday Snowstorm

It’s been a tough week for meteorologists, especially those in the Northeast.

They were battered more by the public than by snow when a “historic” blizzard was not as widespread as originally forecast.  Nevertheless, some locations picked up more than two feet of snow and saw wind gusts above hurricane force of 74 miles-per-hour.

Back at home, in the Midwest, all week I’ve been advertising a weekend snow event that could be a little bit of snow if the northern and southern jet streams stayed north and south, respectively, or several inches to a nice, shovelable snow if the jets merged near Iowa and Illinois.

It seemed like every computer model run contradicted the previous run.  Finally, Friday morning, less than 36 hours before the snow commenced, more consistency prompted me to go with this snowfall projection.

OLD SNOWFALL PROJECTIONS

AP Morning Forecast

After analyzing data Friday afternoon, I believe that we’ll see even more snow that I was thinking this morning!

Here’s what me and my cohort in crime, CBS4 Chief Meteorologist Andy McCray and I are thinking for snowfall totals.

NEW SNOWFALL PROJECTIONS

NEW snowfall forecast

It now looks like 4-6″ of snow will fall across our northwestern hometowns, 6-8″ for much of the area, including the Quad Cities.

Some locations to the southeast of the metro area could see closer to 10″ of snow!  Also, remember with any snowstorm, isolated higher totals are possible.

TIMING OF THE STORM

Precipitation should begin Saturday afternoon first across our southern hometowns as a rain and snow mix.  By evening, it will continue to move northward and quickly change over to snow.

Snow is likely Saturday night into early Sunday with moderate to heavy intensity snow falling, especially from the Quad Cities southward.

This is GFS forecast map for 6 a.m. Sunday with the moderate to heavy snow in the darker shades of green.

6am Sunday GFS

In addition to the heavy accumulation of snow, the winds will become blustery and that will cause blowing snow to make driving even more difficult.

WSW

Around midday Friday, the Quad Cities’ National Weather Service office issued a “Winter Storm Watch” from Saturday evening through Sunday evening.

If the snowfall projections look certain by early Saturday morning, I suspect that the “Watch” will be upgraded to a “Winter Storm Warning” for the counties expecting the heavier snow.

WHERE WE STAND NOW ON SNOWFALL

As of today, January 30th, we’re up to 19.1″ of snow this winter, which is about where we should be at this point in the season (19.6″).  It’s a far cry from where we were at last year at this time (32.5″).

THINK BACK TO FOUR YEARS AGO!

It could be worse if you don’t like snow.

Groundhog Blizzard of 2011

Tomorrow’s start of the snow marks the four-year anniversary of the beginning of the big three-day snowstorm that ended on Groundhog Day 2011.

After picking up 1.9″ January 31st, an astounding 14.8″ fell on February 1st, and concluded with 1.9″ on February 2nd.

That 18.4″ storm tied the largest single storm in Quad City weather history.  The other one was in January 1979.

AND, IF ALL ELSE FAILS….

If, for some reason (and I don’t think this will happen), the snow doesn’t materialize, we could declare Sunday as “French Toast Day” to use up all the eggs, bread, and milk stores sold in advance of the storm!

Eggs Milk Bread

And, toilet paper doesn’t want to be forgotten!

This is my last update of the night unless something drastic comes in on the late evening model runs.  Otherwise, I’ll post an update Saturday morning.

Have a great weekend.

Anthony