Posts Tagged ‘ice’

Possible Ice Before The Weekend Snow

I’m on vacation, but I wanted to give you a no-frills update on the two weather systems that will be affecting us through the weekend.

First up, fog will develop later tonight and on Thursday, it’ll likely become dense.

Fog

Light rain will be breaking out in the afternoon hours with highs around 40°, which will continue melting the snow we have on the ground now.  As temperatures fall Thursday night and early Friday morning, freezing rain and slick driving conditions will be a problem.

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A “Winter Weather Advisory” might be issued for the possible icing situation.

After that, our attention then shifts to a potential snow event later Saturday into Sunday.

Based on the latest American computer models, the storm is taking a more northerly track.  The more consistent European model has been showing this for days.  The more to the north this low tracks, the better chance that warmer air will be pulled into the storm.  That could mean more rain and freezing rain, which would limit the snow at the beginning of the event.

Saturday

For now and this is subject to change many times between now and Saturday, rain develops later Saturday afternoon from south to north across Illinois.  By late evening, this becomes a wintry mix of rain, sleet, freezing rain, and snow as temperatures start falling.

Overnight Saturday night and Sunday, this will become a moderate to heavy snow event.

Here is the GFS model map at 6 a.m. Sunday morning.

SUNDAY 6 AM GFS

The blue line behind the low shows us in the cold air and the darker green is in the heavier snow across eastern Iowa, northwestern Illinois, and the Quad Cities.

At 9 a.m. Sunday, we’re still in the heavy snow.

Sunday 9 AM GFS

And, finally at noon Sunday, we’re still seeing moderate snow.  However, it will quickly exit our area by early afternoon.

SUNDAY NOON GFS

Remember, this is a developing situation and I ask you to keep up on the latest forecast and updates.  It will change!

What is safe to say Wednesday evening, about 72 hours before the onset of the weekend winter storm, is this could be a significant accumulating snow for the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys.  With so many variables to be determined, throwing potential snow accumulation totals out there would still be somewhat irresponsible.

I expect to have some numbers for you Thursday for potential snow.  I also think that the Quad Cities’ National Weather Service office will be issuing a “Winter Storm Watch” for the weekend storm.

There are still many pieces of the puzzle to put together before a concrete forecast is made on this weekend’s storm.

Along with my blog, CBS4 chief meteorologist Andy McCray and meteorologist Kyle Kiel, who is filling in for me Thursday and Friday on “CBS4 News This Morning” from 5-7 a.m., will have the latest on the television.  I may be partial, but I trust them the most.

And, since my buddy Greg Dutra is on vacation, give us a chance to forecast for you!

So, as they say in television, stay tuned…

Anthony

Quad Cities’ Snow Threat Update

UPDATE:  Saturday, December 7, 2013, 3:39 p.m.

Snowfall amount forecasts haven’t really changed from this morning.

The only change is that there is a “Winter Weather Advisory” for some counties northwest of the Quad Cities.

The first part of the drive home tomorrow will be icy and dicey!

Anthony

Original Post:  Saturday, December 7, 2013, 8:07 a.m.

BRRRRRRRRRRRR!  It’s cold in the Quad Cities Saturday morning with temperatures flirting near zero.  Cedar Rapids was around three below zero this morning!

Quiet weather is expected today and tonight, but it’s going to be cold with highs only in the teens and lows back in the single digits to around 10 degrees.

Snow is still likely tomorrow and the heaviest accumulations will be basically northwest of the Quad Cities.

Based on the moisture availability map from NOAA, the darker green indicates where the heaviest snow will fall.  Parts of eastern Iowa will see 2-4″ of snow.

In and around the Quad Cities, 1-2″ are likely.  That is also what I expect east and south of the Quad Cities.

Snowflake

So, basically, this is not a freak-out snow.  But, it will slow people down Sunday and Sunday night.

Again, 1-4″ of snow expected.

On the other hand, after a quiet day today in Nashville, Tennessee, another freezing rain event moves in tonight and early Sunday with one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch of ice is expected.

A “Winter Weather Advisory” is in effect where I’m at from 9 p.m. Saturday to 9 a.m. Sunday.

The first four hours of our trip back to the Quad Cities may be a slow go with the new ice expected and the heavy snow that fell Thursday night and Friday in western Kentucky and southern Illinois.

This is how much snow fell there over the past two days.  And, remember when we drove through here Wednesday afternoon, it was about 72 degrees!

The red on the map below the snow-covered roads in southern Illinois.

The National Weather Service may issue a “Winter Weather Advisory” later today for tomorrow for the Quad Cities.

Have a great weekend!

Anthony

Ice Storm Possible Sunday!

UPDATE:  SUNDAY, JANUARY 27, 2013

Friends, be careful! We’re under a “Freezing Rain Advisory”. The icing is happening now. Watch your thermometer or the temperature and remember that although it’s 27-32 degrees now that it will climb above freezing this afternoon and tonight.  However, surfaces are a few degrees colder.  So, the ice will be slower to melt. Slow down today or stay inside!

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  SATURDAY, JANUARY 26, 2013

“What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas” may be a cool motto, but it’s not necessarily true.  Granted, I may not tell you everything that we witness here, there are a couple of things I will share with you.

Remember Thursday when we arrived and I said it was raining.  The disturbance that caused that rain here will be bringing rain to Illinois and Iowa Sunday.  And with the cold temperatures in place, this will be a wintry mix that could bring a coating of ice to the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys Sunday!

The National Weather Service office in the Quad Cities has issued a “Winter Storm Watch” for Sunday morning through Sunday night for the counties shaded in blue, which is all of eastern Iowa and northern Illinois.  If you’re traveling to Chicago, they are included in this, too.  Where you see the purple, that is a “Freezing Rain Advisory” for the Galesburg area.

A nice day is on tap today with sunshine and highs in the 20s to near 30 degrees.  Tonight, clouds take over and lows drop into the low-to-mid-20s.,

By 6 a.m. Sunday, moisture will moving into our area.  With warmer air aloft from the Plains storm, this means there will be sleet and rain developing Sunday morning.  The sleet shouldn’t be a problem because with warmer air in the clouds, most of what falls will melt right above the surface and be liquid when it falls to the ground.  However, since surface temperatures will be cold, in the 20s, it will freeze on contact giving us ice.

While all of eastern Iowa and northern Illinois will see a coating of ice, the worst of it will be north of the Quad Cities since temperatures will remain colder there longer.  (The areas shaded in blue and red on the map below will see the best chance of an ice storm and the heaviest accumulation!)

Here’s the bottom line:  this could be a dangerous winter storm with the ice.  Today, I would prepare for this.

However, this is not set in stone.  Since temperatures will be in the 30s Sunday, the difference of 30 degrees and 35 degrees when the heaviest rain/freezing rain starts falling will be the difference between a large accumulation of ice that could bring down tree limbs and power lines (30 degrees) and just a cold, rainy day with just a little ice (mid-30 highs).

If anything major changes one way or the other, I’ll let you know.  Now, I’m ready to start my day in Vegas.

One last thing, it started raining last night here during the Lady Gaga concert and it’s still raining this morning.  This storm will be in the Quad Cities Monday night and Tuesday (yes, I’m bringing it home with me), but the good news is that it’ll be much warmer (maybe close to 50 degrees Tuesday), so it will all be in the form of rain and not ice or snow.

Enjoy your weekend.

Anthony

Random Friday Thoughts — January 4, 2013

It’s the first Friday of the new year and I hope the first three days of 2013 treated you well.  A past Friday blog tradition for me was to feature three of my favorite songs from the 1980s, my favorite decade of music.  While I’m still going to highlight one each Friday, I’m going to mix it up a bit.  On each Friday in 2013, I’m going to do a random blog with no rhyme or reason.

IT’S COLD, BUT WHERE IS THE SNOW?

Global Warming Protest

All of these snowmen may be protesting “global warming” (yes, I know it’s a reality), but it’s been cold enough for me lately.  Over the past two weeks, temperatures in the Quad Cities are running about three degrees colder than average.  Five of those mornings (including January 1 and 2, 2013, at 5°) have been in the single digits.

But, where is the snow?  We’ve only picked up 5.3″ of snow this winter at the Quad City International Airport in Moline, Illinois, and 4.9″ of that fell on December 20, 2012.  While this is about 6″ behind where we should be on January 4th, last year at this time, only 1.4″ of snow had accumulated!

As skimpy as the snow has been the past two winters, this is not a record.  Back in the winter of 1939-1940, the first accumulating snow of the winter had not even occurred!  It would be January 7, 1940, before that winter saw a measurable snow.

SO, WHY ARE WE DEALING WITH THIS?

Icy Streets From 122012 Storm

This is my street in Moline.  I live on a side street or secondary street.  Why, more than two weeks after the only winter storm of this season, are streets still a sheet of ice?  (Disclaimer:  I know this isn’t a problem that is exclusive to Moline.  I’ve heard others in the Quad Cities complaining about the same thing.)

From a meteorological standpoint, I’ll defend local public works departments to a certain extent.

When that winter storm started on Wednesday, December 19th, and continued into the early morning hours of Thursday, temperatures were still above freezing and much of what we’re dealing with now fell as rain.  When temperatures dropped below freezing and the rain transitioned to almost 5″ of snow (with much more northwest of the metro area), it became an instant ice rink.  (I guess we can now say Moline has two ice rinks and this one was much more effective with a lot less maintenance and problems!)

That’s where my defense ends and my questions start.  We live in the Midwest.  This is not Kentucky or Tennessee where a light accumulation of ice or snow brings the area to a standstill.  It’s been fifteen days since that storm and temperatures for the last two days of 2012 made it up to 36°.  It’s not too cold to apply salt, sand, or whatever is being used these days to melt this and make our streets safer.  As citizens, we’re given so many hours to clean our sidewalks after a snow.  The same should be required of our streets.

I guess there is some good news.  Temperatures today through much of next week are forecast to be generally in the 30s, which will allow the ice melt on its own!

ARE THE FISH FROZEN?

With temperatures the past few mornings at the coldest levels this winter, ice is forming on the cattail in the fish pond from the water coming out of the fountain.  The good news is that the de-icer is still keeping the surface of the pond from freezing.  The fish are handling the cold, but they are definitely not moving much.  With milder days ahead, I hope to see them swimming around next week.

Icy Fish 2

DOWNRIGHT CREEPY

While we were unwinding one night on our December cruise, Gretel was playing with Ray’s phone and came up with this creepy picture.  We’ll call it Grethony!  It looks like something from a horror movie.

Grethony

2012’S BIGGEST TOUR

Now that 2012 is behind us, Pollstar released the list of the most profitable worldwide tours last year.  I’ve very happy to say that I got to see the #1 tour in Las Vegas on October 13, 2012, and three weeks from today, I’ll be seeing the #5 tour, also in Las Vegas.

2012 Top Tours

While Madonna’s tour brought in an incredible $296.1 million and tickets averaged around $140 each, she wasn’t the act demanding the most money.

Madonna MDNA

At #33 on the list, the Rolling Stones made $35.5 million in just five shows with an average ticket price of $529.51!

And, at #22, Barbra Streisand’s 12 shows brought in an incredible $40.7 with average ticket prices at $263.52.

LADY GAGA REACHING OUT

The-Born-This-Way-Ball-Tour- Lady Gaga

I’m getting excited to see Lady Gaga on January 25th in Las Vegas.  The North American leg of her “Born This Way Ball” tour kicks off one week from today with two shows in Vancouver, British Columbia.  I can’t wait to see what changes she’ll make to the set list.

Several hours before Gaga hits the stage at each of her American shows, her Born This Way Foundation will provide the “Born Brave Bus”, which offers a free, safe space for 13- to 25-year-olds “to learn more about local resources on anti-bullying, suicide prevention, and mental health services.”

Born Brave Bus

So, other than the amazing music, over the top costumes, and incredible sets, you can see why she is so loved!

Gaga, you rock!

I ♥ MY WEATHER IDOL EVEN MORE

WGN-TV chief meteorologist Tom Skilling is the best in the business.  And, after seeing his participation with the NOH8 project, I love him even more!

Tom NOH8

From left to right, that’s Tom, The School of the Art Institute of Chicago student Bruce Caulkins, and WGN-TV anchor/reporter Sean Lewis.

And, back in 2010, Miss ABBA and I submitted our pictures for NOH8, too.

ABBA Anthony NOH8NOH8 Heart

For those of you that don’t know what NOH8 is, it’s a “charitable organization whose mission is to promote marriage, gender and human equality through education, advocacy, social media, and visual protest.”

SAYING GOODBYE TO CHRISTMAS 2012

Our Christmas trees and decorations are still up and I plan on enjoying them for one more week and then they come down next weekend.  So, I’ll say goodbye to Christmas 2012 in my blog with this video produced by 1980’s pop star Boy George of Culture Club.  Christmas doesn’t have to be a “drag”.

“You Ruined My Xmas” — Supreme Fabulette

“SILENT NIGHT”

Silent Night

This was the worst movie I’ve seen in a very long time.

While I love “Entertainment Weekly”, the magazine led me astray when it gave the movie, “Silent Night”, a grade of “B”.  This holiday horror movie spent five whole days in theaters and made $14,567 before it was released on DVD  in early December 2012.

So, last weekend, I was very excited to check it out.  The premise of a crazed Santa going on a Christmas killing spree sounded like cheap fun.

The acting was horrible and there was no snow on the ground and this movie took place, I think, in Wisconsin.  I guess since the movie was probably filmed on a shoestring budget in the summer, there was no snow and no explanation of why they weren’t having a White Christmas.  Oh, that’s right, Santa was a killer!

The only thing going for the movie was some creative methods of killing off the characters:  can you say “wood chipper”!  But, even that scene was overshadowed by the jokey acting.  And, I sure hope respected actor Malcolm McDowell was paid a lot of money to be in this disaster.

If you want a scary holiday movie, don’t rent this.  If you want a holiday movie that should have scared you, but instead makes you laugh, this is your movie.

GRADE:  D (a few of the creative methods of murder boosts it up from an “F”).

PEEPS’ FRIDAY ’80S FLASHBACK

There are two acts that I’d like to see in concert in 2013, Culture Club (if they reunite) and Depeche Mode.

Depeche Mode kicks off their world tour in Tel Aviv, Israel in early May with dates running through July 29th.  No U.S. dates have been announced yet.

In August 1989, they released the first single from “Violator”, which would become their biggest American album.

“Personal Jesus” peaked at #28 and the follow-up single, “Enjoy The Silence” in early 1990, would become their only Top Ten American hit on the Billboard Hot 100.

“Personal Jesus” — Depeche Mode

Have a great weekend.

Anthony

Random Thoughts 2012 Recap, Part Three

Okay, new blogs start tomorrow.  This is my final installment of the recaps of my “random” blogs from 2012.  Those are the ones where I talked about multiple topics in one blog.  Basically, it was whatever was on my mind that day!  To read the individual blogs from this fall, I’ve made it easy.  Just click on the title once you’ve opened today’s blog.

September 15, 2012

In this blog, I covered Osama bin Laden, 9/11, “Zero Dark Thirty”, “Argo”, “Lincoln”, freaky fish, Asian carp, bananas, and marriage equality.

I’m Having More Random Thoughts

September 27, 2012

My random thoughts on this day included Ohio and the presidential election, heavy rain expected in Houston for my vacation, our fish pond and raccoons, “The Impossible”, Christmas, Reba and “Malibu Country”, “The New Normal”, “Elementary”, and new music from Calvin Harris.

A Buffet of Thoughts — A Little of This & That

November 10, 2012

In this blog, I put the elections into perspective and behind me and I covered the top-selling artists in English music history, how many people believe in God, Christmas cards, and featured new music from Reba McEntire.

My Early November Random Thoughts

November 15, 2012

In this blog, I talked about Channing Tatum being named the “Sexiest Man Alive”, Christmas, Christmas music from Rod Stewart and Olivia Newton-John and John Travolta.  Also, I blogged about “The Campaign” and “Arthur Christmas”, bigotry, Madonna, and PSY.

I’m Thinking About Christmas & Much More Today

December 6, 2012

Christmas was on my mind in this blog, along with human rights, Hillary Clinton, the lack of snow, my sister, Tammy, Shania Twain in Las Vegas, Britney Spears and will.i.am, Christmas decorating, Ke$ha, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, and “Love Actually”.

Random December Thoughts

December 15, 2012

And, finally, Christmas, “Dexter”, marriage equality, killing camels, ice, snow, winter, and the fish pond were on my mind in my last random blog of the year.

I’m Having More Random December Thoughts

Anthony

I’m Having More Random December Thoughts

There are times when I find several things that I want to share, but I don’t want to devote an entire blog entry to the topic.  That’s when I do my random blogs, which is like a buffet with a little of this and a little of that.  This is my tenth one this year.  At the end of the year, I’ll make it easy for you to check them out in case you missed them earlier in the year.

CHRISTMAS IS JUST TEN DAYS AWAY

I hope you’re making progress on your shopping and getting those Christmas cookies, cakes, and breads baked.  I did some baking earlier this week and that will be the topic of tomorrow’s blog.  Are you curious now what it is?  All I’ll say is that it might just be fit for a king!  (Hint!  Hint!)

Two of my dear friends, Jim & Sue Williams, dropped by Thursday and brought us some delicious baked goodies and an antique Christmas ornament that belonged to her grandmother!

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Sue did this last year, too, and treated Miss ABBA to her own homemade puppy cookies.

ABBA Treats From Sue

Sue & Jim, thank you.  It was a pleasure finally meeting you!  The treats were just icing on the cookies! 🙂

CHRISTMAS HUMOR

When you’re on Facebook, you see some really crazy things and some of them are really funny.  Here are some that made me smile or laugh.  And, with Sue’s treats and the cruise coming up, I’ll pretend that this first one is true. 🙂

I WishSanta FacebookMaxine Wise Men

CHEERS TO THE HAPPY COUPLES

Voters in Maine, Maryland, and Washington made marriage equality a reality in the November elections.  Now, their states are the seventh, eighth, and ninth (along with the District of Columbia) in the country to allow same-sex marriage.  Those are the first three states to actually vote marriage equality into law.  The tide is turning!

Jane Pete-e

Pete-e Peterson, 85, and Jane Abbott Lighty, 77, became the first couple in Washington state to pick up marriage licenses December 6, 2012.  They were married three days later (there is a three-day waiting period).  The couple have been together for 35 years after meeting on a blind date back in 1977.

Washington Couple

56-year-old Larry Duncan (left) and 48-year-old Randy Shepherd, who have been together for 11 years, also got married last Sunday in Washington.

Congratulations!  I wish you many more years of  happiness.

Same-sex couples in Maine will be able to get married on December 29th and in Maryland on January 1, 2013.

While marriage equality is not recognized federally, more and more people now oppose the “Defense of Marriage Act” and hopefully that will go the way of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” and be history soon!

WHY CAN’T HUMANS LOVE SO FREELY?

Dogs Love Freely

WHO NEEDS A FLASH MOB WHEN YOU HAVE THIS YOUNG MAN?

IF YOU MISSED THE CHRISTMAS EPISODE OF “THE NEW NORMAL”

David New Normal

I agree with the networks for altering programming around Halloween because of  Hurricane Sandy on the East Coast.  However, I really want NBC to air the Halloween episode of “The New Normal” that was preempted.  I don’t care if it’s in January.  The images I’ve seen look funny.

THIS REALLY TICKS ME OFF

CAMEL

I came across this picture in an October 2011 “Time” magazine.

I admit that I don’t understand or know a lot about some customs around the world.  But, this picture shows Tripoli residents gathering around a camel that will be slaughtered to honor Libyan rebels who died in the struggle against former leader Muammar Gaddafi.  Seriously, that poor creature had to die as a form of celebration?

I know we sacrifice turkeys at Thanksgiving, but we eat them!

Why can’t they just have a service or a wake????

A “WHITE CHRISTMAS” THIS YEAR  SOUNDS GOOD TO ME!

White Red Christmas

YOU THOUGHT I WAS GOING TO TALK WEATHER… OKAY, I WILL

I hope you’re enjoying the rainy weather today.  We’re expecting about .50″ -.75″ of rain.  If you used the 10:1 ratio, if it had been cold enough today for this to be snow, we’d be talking about 5-8″ of snow!  But, that isn’t the case.

As of yesterday, we’ve gone 285 days with no measurable snow in the Quad Cities.  Our last measurable snow (0.9″) was March 4, 2012.  This marks the second longest stretch between measurable snows on record.  The record in the Quad Cities is 290 days and that was back in 1908!

Additionally, the winter of 2012-2013 is now in the Top Ten for the latest first measurable snow of the season.   Right now, we’re in eighth place.  This means that there have only been seven other winters since records have been kept (beginning in the 1870s) that it was later in winter before we saw the first measurable snow.  The record is January 7, 1940.

December 21-27

This is the Climate Prediction Center’s temperature forecast for December 21-27, 2012.  It shows much of the central United States experiencing above average temperatures.  Remember, this is just a forecast and sometimes it changes.

If you’re really wanting snow, there is an interesting storm coming in late Wednesday and Thursday that, depending on the track and intensity, could bring an accumulating snow to the Midwest, including the Quad Cities.  This is the forecast map for 9 a.m. Thursday, 12/20/12, and this would be snow if it happens this way!

THURSDAY 122012 9AM

If this doesn’t pan out, the long term computer models do show the potential for another big snowstorm AFTER Christmas.

COLD WEATHER & OUR FISH POND

Back on November 27th, it dropped to 13° in the Quad Cities and Tuesday morning, we were down to 19° for the low temperature.  So far, it appears the de-icer that we bought for the fish pond appears to be working.

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While there was a little ice on the water lettuce, the fountain was still pumping water and the water temperatures was around 47°.  Below the de-icer (the black circular device), you could see the fish close to the bottom of the pond.

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So, I guess they can handle the frosty mornings.

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“DEXTER” CHRISTMAS HUMOR

Dexter Elf

HUMOR FOR THOSE WITH A DIRTY MIND — CHRISTMAS SHOPPING MADE EASY

Bottom Top

A DIFFERENT “12 DAYS OF CHRISTMAS”

Janice Dickinson’s take on the holiday classics is a must-see for me each holiday season!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Who needs five golden rings when you can have her version???

SANTA BABIES!

And, finally “Twas The Night Before Christmas” needs to be rewritten!  I know there are more obese people in the U.S. than even before, but after seeing this, the whole thing about Santa being “chubby and plump” doesn’t exactly work for me! 🙂

Santa Clauses

Merry Christmas!

Anthony

Ice, Ice (Fishing) Baby

Six months ago, Ray and I spent a Sunday afternoon digging up our backyard and we acquired fourteen new “pets”.  After the transition from pet store aquariums to our pond, ten of our goldfish survived.

Even with one of the hottest summers on record in the Quad Cities with highs reaching 90° or higher, 45 times and of those, five at or above 100°, adding ice cubes and a frozen bottle of ice kept them alive, happy, and plump!  Boy, did they grow.

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With winter weather and freezing cold closing in on us, we had to make the decision of whether to bring in the ten fish or leave them outside this winter with the help of a heater.

That’s the option we chose and our de-icer arrived in the mail in late September and Ray installed it.

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With overnight lows this morning and yesterday morning in the 20-25° range, our fish and the de-icer were put to the test.

Thermometer

Would we have frozen Gorton’s fish sticks or would the water be free of ice?  As I walked around the house down to the fish pond, here was the bird bath!

Bird Bath

And, when I got to the fish pond, it was a beautiful sight.  Not only was it free of ice and the fountain still had water sprinkling out, one of the fish was swimming around the de-icer.

Cold Fish Pond

Now, our little Nemos (actually, none of them look like Nemo, and luckily, none look like Asian carp) are ready to experience their first outdoor Mississippi Valley winter, complete with snow, cold, and blizzard-like conditions.

I found this picture online and let’s just hope this isn’t the case for our fish come January or  February.

IcyGoldfish

But, I’ve read that even if there’s a layer of ice on top, the fish will still have enough oxygen to live through the winter as long as the pond doesn’t freeze solid!

And, if the heater isn’t enough to keep the ice away, we’ll get an aquarium and bring them indoors and then they’ll have to fend off Gretel’s two cats. 🙂

Anthony