Posts Tagged ‘Illinois’

Record Heat, Storms, & Snow — Oh My!

You know the expression.  “You live in the Midwest, so if you don’t like the weather, wait fifteen minutes and it’ll change.”

We’re seeing unprecedented record heat across the Quad Cities this February with five consecutive days with record high temperatures.  Today will be the sixth.

record-warmth-update

Today’s predicted high of 76° in the Quad Cities will set the all-time record warm temperature for February.  That was just established this past Sunday when we reached 74°.

As of right now, this is the fifth warmest February on record in the Quad Cities.

Even as temperatures drop back to near 60° for highs Thursday and Friday, that’ll still be well above the average of 38° for this time of the year.

Showers will break out Thursday afternoon and build into a more widespread rain with a few thunderstorms Thursday night and Friday.

By Friday night and Saturday, colder air wraps into the storm system and light snow is possible.  We could see some light accumulation from around Interstate 80 northward.

Snowflake

Another wintry mix is possible Sunday.

Anthony

Incredible Stretch of February Warmth

Is this really February across the Midwest?

Global Warming Protest

Halfway through February, temperatures are running more than five degrees above average, while rain and snowfall are running below average.

After a chilly day Wednesday, but still above average, a big warm-up is on the way.  It’s a warm stretch of weather that is almost unprecedented for February.

As I stated yesterday and the data supports it even more today, we could hit the 60-degree mark or higher Friday through Monday.  That would be four straight days of 60°+ temperatures in February.

60s.png

Since record-keeping started in the Quad Cities back in the 1870s, this has only happened three times.

In February 2000, we had five consecutive days of 60°+ days.  Highs ranged from 60°-71°.

We saw four days of 60°+ temperatures in February 1976.  The highs ranged from 62°-71°.

But, the longest stretch was in February 1930 when we had seven days of 60°+ heat.  Highs in that stretch ranged from 60°-69°.

Now, tell me again, what was that groundhog’s prediction about winter?

Anthony

Two Rounds of Snow Today

UPDATED POST:  Wednesday, February 8, 2017, 5:00 p.m.

Officially, 1.3″ of snow fell in Moline overnight and this morning (15.5″ for the winter now) and 1.2″ accumulated in Davenport (18.3″ for winter now).

ORIGINAL POST:  Wednesday, February 8, 2017, 5:40 a.m.

After the overnight snow, another round of light snow will move across Iowa and Illinois today.

This is what it looked like in Rock Island, Illinois, at 4 a.m. today.

4am-rock-island-snow

The first disturbance brought a dusting to about one-half of an inch of snow to eastern Iowa and west-central Illinois before the morning commute.

Another piece of energy bringing snow to western Iowa at daybreak will track across the “Hawkeye State” with snow this morning and early afternoon mainly along and south of Interstate 80.

wwa

A “Winter Weather Advisory” is in effect through 6 p.m. Wednesday for hometowns south of the Quad Cities.  They’ll likely see 2-3″ of snow.

snow-totals-today

Along Interstate 80 and for the Quad Cities, 1-2″ of snow will accumulate.  Northern hometowns will see a trace to about one-half of an inch.

Tonight will be very cold with lows dropping into the single digits.  After a breezy day with highs in the 20s Thursday, we’ll warm up nicely Friday and Saturday with highs around 50°-55°.

Anthony

Storms Today, But Snow Tomorrow!

February is already off to an interesting start.

We had a near record high of 57° yesterday in the Quad Cities, thunderstorms overnight into Tuesday morning with vivid lightning and some small hail, and now some snow is on the way.

As the wet weather comes to an end Tuesday morning and temperatures crash Tuesday afternoon, a disturbance moving out of the Plains will bring a band of light snow to the area Wednesday.

snow-wednesday

The snow could start late Tuesday night with the best chances of seeing accumulation across our southern hometowns.  They could pick up an inch or so.

2-8-snow-totals

In the Quad Cities, we might get around one-half inch.

Northern hometowns will only see a few flurries — if anything.

After a couple of colder days Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the upper-20s, we warm to near 50° again Friday and Saturday.

Anthony

Major Winter Storm For Parts of Iowa

We’re down to the last week of January 2017 and we still haven’t had a measurable snow in the Quad Cities.

Our last sticking snow in the metro area was more than a month ago.  On December 17, 2016, 2.7″ of snow fell in Moline and 2.5″ accumulated in Davenport.

A winter storm moving out of the Plains today and across Iowa tomorrow will bring rain this afternoon.  This will be a wintry mix in our northern hometowns tonight and Wednesday.

rain-snow

By Wednesday afternoon, as this system moves to the Great Lakes, we’ll see a transition to all light snow for eastern Iowa and northern Illinois, especially Wednesday night.

Accumulations in our northern hometowns, around Galena, Illinois, and Maquoketa and Dubuque, Iowa, could be around an inch or two by Thursday morning.

As it looks now, the Quad Cities might see a dusting or so of snow by Thursday morning.

However, if you’re traveling to Waterloo, Iowa, 3-6″ of snow will fall there.  A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.

warning

A “Winter Storm Warning” covers much of northern Iowa, where more than 6″ of snow will be falling.  Parts of northwestern Iowa could pick up a foot of snow!

After this storm, colder weather is on the for the rest of the week into the weekend.

Anthony

Dangerous Icing Tonight & Early Monday

UPDATED POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 6:09 p.m.

Right now, light freezing rain is being reported from Ottumwa to Fort Madison, Iowa, to Macomb, Illinois.

In the afternoon update, all of eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois will be under the “Winter Weather Advisory” at some point tonight into Monday.

The importance of this is that all of us will see freezing rain.  The only differences across the area will be the start and end times for the “Advisory”.  That also coincides with the timing of when the worst of the icing will be taking place.

 

With that being said, just go through this list of Iowa and Illinois counties until you find yours and that’ll let you know the hours when the worse icing will take place.

The “Winter Weather Advisory” is already underway for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.  This will expire at 9 a.m. Monday.

Knox and Stark counties in Illinois will go into the “Advisory” at 6 p.m. Sunday and this will run through noon Monday.

From midnight Sunday through noon Monday, the “Advisory” covers Cedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Bureau, Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The “Advisory” now starts at 3 a.m. Monday through noon Monday for Clinton and Jackson counties in Iowa and for Carroll and Whiteside counties in Illinois.

It also runs from 3 a.m. to 3 p.m. Monday for Jo Daviess County, Illinois.

Anthony

UPDATED POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 11:21 a.m.

The start time for the “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) for some of us has been pushed back again.

It still goes into effect at 3 p.m. today through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

It now runs from midnight Sunday through noon Monday for Cedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The “Advisory” now starts at 3 a.m. Monday through noon Monday for Clinton and Jackson counties in Iowa.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Sunday, January 15, 2017, 6:45 a.m.

The highly-anticipated ice storm I’ve been talking about for over a week now will arrive later today.

The worst of the icing and hazardous driving conditions will be Sunday night and the first half of Monday.

 

Winter advisories and warnings Sunday extend from the Rockies (for heavy snow) to Iowa and Illinois (for mostly ice).

This winter storm is still located over the southwestern United States and is already bringing icy weather to the Plains early Sunday morning.

As of this posting, the heaviest icing in still across southern Missouri and Kansas. This will be moving northeast today.

If you still have errands to run or if you’re heading off to church, most of Sunday morning is still expected to be dry.

The start times for the advisories remain unchanged from my Saturday evening update.

 

A “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) goes into effect at 3 p.m. today through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

The “Advisory” runs from 6 p.m. today through noon Monday for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois.

And,  the “Advisory” starts at 9 p.m. Sunday and expires at noon Monday for Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

Ice Ray

WINTRY MIX START TIMES

While there may patchy light snow, sleet, or freezing rain moving in late morning, I think our southern hometowns from around Fairfield and Burlington, Iowa, to Monmouth and Galesburg, Illinois, will see the more general wintry mix begin around 2-5 p.m.

The more concentrated wintry mix and icing event moves northward to the Quad Cities and along and south of Interstate 80 from around 5-8 p.m. Sunday.

It should reach northern hometowns by midnight and this may be mostly light snow there, at first.

As temperatures warm south to north Sunday night, the wintry mix will become mostly a freezing rain event.

Temperatures by late morning Monday will be rising above freezing, so rain will fall and the ice will slowly melt.  However, it may take until early afternoon for this to occur.  I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the “advisories” are extended into Monday afternoon.

ICE AMOUNTS

I’m still expectng around one-tenth of an inch of ice to accumulate for most of us.

The heaviest coating of ice, up to one-quarter of an inch, will be to the southwest of the Quad Cities.

 

One final note is that winds are not going to breezy with this storm, so even when we get a coating of ice on trees limbs and power lines, it won’t be whipping them around increasing the chances of power outages.

The bottom line is that most of Sunday morning is still expected to be dry.  You still have some time to run to the store to buy last minute groceries or supplies!

Snow's a comin'

Also, it’s always wise to have plenty of gas in your car in case you’re in an accident.  You’ll want to be able to turn the heat on, occasionally, until service crews and rescuers get to you.

I’ll monitor the start of the wintry mix and icing and update you, as needed, today.

Anthony

Icing Event Begins Later Sunday

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 3:54 p.m.

I hope everyone is having a great weekend.  Here’s my final update for the day.  I’ll have another one early Sunday.

First off, the latest models continue to slow the onset of the wintry mix Sunday.

The start time for the advisories will coincide with the start of the wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

A “Winter Weather Advisory” (blueish-purple shading) will go into effect Sunday into Monday for most of eastern Iowa and west-central Illinois.  This replaces the “Winter Storm Watch” that was to go into effect Sunday.

The “Advisory” will run from 3 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday for Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, and Washington counties in Iowa, and for Henderson and Warren counties in Illinois.

For Knox and Stark counties in Illinois, the “Advisory” runs from 6 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday.

And, for the rest of the counties included in the “Advisory”, it runs from 9 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday.

Those counties are Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, and Scott counties in Iowa and Henry, Mercer, and Rock Island in Illinois.

The bottom line is the worst of the freezing rain and icing will be Sunday night through mid-morning Monday!

I’m still thinking we’ll see between one-tenth and one-quarter of an inch of ice!

Anthony

UPDATED POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 9:39 a.m.

Just a quick note before you read the details of Sunday’s ice storm below.  The main event and the worst of the storm will be Sunday night and early Monday.

The storm, as expected, is still showing signs of slowing down even more.

Have a great weekend and read on to be prepared.

Anthony

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, January 14, 2017, 6:17 a.m.

The much anticipated ice storm is still coming Sunday, but it’s not likely to arrive for most of us until later in the day.

I talked about this in my Friday afternoon update and after looking at the new information this morning, I think we’ll have a few more ice-free hours Sunday.

A “Winter Storm Watch” goes into effect Sunday.

Locally, this “Watch” runs from 6 p.m. Sunday through noon Monday, except for Knox and Stark counties in Illinois.  There, the “Watch” begins at midnight Saturday and runs through 6 a.m. Monday.

At the bottom of the map you see a fuchsia and purple shading.  Those counties are under a “Freezing Rain Advisory” (fuchsia) and “Ice Storm Warning” (purple).

Later today or early Sunday morning, I expect our “Winter Storm Watch” to be changed to either a “Freezing Rain Advisory” or a “Winter Weather Advisory”.

Now, let’s talk about when this all starts and how much ice we’re expecting.

A light wintry mix may begin Sunday morning across the far south.

Hometowns from Ottumwa and Burlington, Iowa, to Galesburg, Illinois, could see a combination of snow, sleet, and freezing rain begin around midday Sunday.

For the Quad Cities and hometowns along and just south of Interstate 80, that wintry mix will start in the afternoon (4-7 p.m.).

Areas north of the metro area may see mostly snow for a while once it starts Sunday evening.

This wintry mix will transition to all freezing rain Sunday night and early Monday morning from south to north as temperatures warm overnight.

By mid-morning Monday, temperatures will be warming into the 30s and then the low-40s by afternoon, so it’ll be all rain and the ice will begin to slowly melt.

 

As you head south into those higher numbers, ice amounts could be closer to one-quarter of an inch.

Ice Ray

That’s a lot of ice!

Driving will be very hazardous Sunday night and early Monday.  Trees and power lines will have a heavy coating of ice, which could cause power outages and interruptions to cable, phone, and internet services.

While the ice might be pretty to look at, this is a very dangerous situation.

The only silver lining is that winds are not expected to be strong during this icing event at around 6-12 miles-per-hour.

I’ll have another update later Saturday.

Warmer temperatures are on the way starting Monday.  By the end of the next week, we could see highs in the 50s!

Anthony