Posts Tagged ‘Winter Storm Warning’

Winter Storm for the Quad Cities

UPDATED POST:  Sunday, November 25, 2018, 8:42 a.m.

More snow is expected than previously forecast.  Here’s the updated totals and thinking on the storm.  Click on the link:



UPDATED POST:  Saturday, November 24, 2018, 3:27 p.m.

The timing on the storm below still looks good.

In the latest models, it looks like the heaviest of the snow is shifting some to the south.

So, I’ve updated the snowfall totals map and here’s the latest warning and advisory map.

Updated QC Warnings.JPG

The “Winter Storm Watch” from earlier over toward Chicagoland is now updated to a “Winter Storm Warning”, as I expected.

And, a “Blizzard Warning” is now in effect around Ottumwa, Iowa!

On the snowfall totals map here, the swath of blue is where the best likelihood of the heaviest snow will fall.


Another update will be posted Sunday morning!

ORIGINAL POST:  Saturday, November 24, 2018, 9 a.m.

Quad Cities, the first really big snowstorm of the season is on the way!

Enjoy the great weather Saturday because moderate to heavy snow and strong winds are forecast for Sunday, just as the Thanksgiving holiday weekend wraps up!

I’ll keep it short, so you don’t have to read a lot.  I’ll tell you what you need to know because I probably won’t be answering questions!

Here’s a snapshot of what I’m thinking.  Keep up on the latest forecast, especially Sunday morning because the axis of heavy snow could shift!

Most of eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois are under a “Winter Storm Warning” Sunday.

La Salle County, Illinois, that blue indicates a “Winter Storm Watch”, which may be upgraded to a “Winter Storm Warning” later Saturday for Sunday.

Rain will develop Saturday night and change over to snow Sunday morning from north to south.

The snow will be heaviest from late Sunday morning through the afternoon hours.

Gusty winds and falling temperatures will also produce blizzard-like conditions and low visibilities.

As for snow totals, the faster the rain changes over to snow, the better chance that you’ll see higher the snow totals in this range.

Again, keep up on the latest forecast.  Any shift in the storm track will affect these snow totals (“snotals”) 🙂

If anything major changes in my thinking on this storm, I’ll post another update.

I’m just looking out for my Peeps back home!  Be safe!



Snow Is On The Way Quad Cities

UPDATED POST: Saturday, February 10, 2018, 6:50 a.m.


Another 1.2″ of snow has fallen in Moline through 6 a.m. Saturday morning.  This brings the storm total to 5.6″.

Davenport picked up another 1.9″ since midnight and the storm total there is 5.5″.


9.0″ Colona (IL); 8.0″ Freeport (IL); 7.2″ Chadwick (IL); 7.0″ Hampton (IL); 7.0″ Kewanee (IL); 6.0″ Princeton (IL); 6.0″ Lanark (IL); 5.6″ Moline (IL); 5.5″ Davenport (IA);  5.4″ Dubuque (IA);  5.0″ Geneseo (IL); 5.0″ Rock Falls (IL); 4.5″ Sterling (IL); 4.4″ Elizabeth (IL); 4.0″ Morrison (IL); 4.0″ Galena (IL); and 3.0″ Cordova (IL).

UPDATED POST: Friday, February 9, 2018, 5:04 a.m.

If you were wishing that the snow coming in wouldn’t be so bad, it’s coming true for many of you.

Here’s a newer “Winter Storm Warning” and “Winter Weather Advisory” map.


Although this map that I borrowed doesn’t show it, except for Knox and Stark counties, the southern tier of counties have been dropped from the “Winter Weather Advisory”.

Additionally, the “Winter Storm Warning” for the metro area is now a “Winter Weather Advisory”!

Snowfall amounts this morning will be around 1″-3″ and another system could bring another 1″-3″ later tonight into Saturday morning.


UPDATED POST:  Thursday, February 8, 2018, 4:25 p.m.


The southern counties that were not under a “Winter Weather Advisory” this morning are now.  This includes Fairfield and Burlington in Iowa and Galesburg and Monmouth in Illinois.

I still think the snowfall totals I shared this morning look realistic:

Under the “Winter Storm Warning” — 4-8″ with isolated higher totals.

For the “Winter Weather Advisory” — 2-4″ with isolated higher totals. (This now includes Fairfield, Burlington, Galesburg, and Monmouth.)

That’s for the snow through Friday evening.


Now, remember earlier I said more light snow is possible later this weekend?

From Friday night through Sunday morning, another system will bring an additional 1-3″ of snow along and north of Interstate 80.

The lower end of that range will fall across the far north and the higher end will be around the Quad Cities.

However, 3-5″ seems possible south of Interstate 80!


ORIGINAL POST:  Thursday, February 8, 2018, 5:45 a.m.

Another big snow is on the way to eastern Iowa and northern Illinois later today into Friday night!

A “Winter Storm Warning” goes into effect at 6 p.m. Thursday and runs through 6 p.m. Friday along Interstate 80 and to the north.

Let’s keep this simple… find where you are this map and read below. 🙂


If you live in one of the pink-colored counties on this map, you could easily see 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher totals.

To the south of this “Warning”, there’s a “Winter Weather Advisory”.  In the “Advisory” area, 2-4″ of snow could accumulate with isolated higher totals.

Now, you’ll notice that Galesburg, Monmouth, Burlington, and more southern hometowns are not under a “Warning” or “Advisory”, but you’ll still get snow.

Accumulations in those southern hometowns could pick up 1-3″ of snow.  Of course, there could be some isolated higher totals there, too. 


The snow should begin across Iowa and spread across the state Thursday afternoon with the heaviest snow into tonight north of Interstate 80.

The heavier snow band will move southward early Friday morning through Friday evening for the rest of the area.

The good news is that won’t be a lot of wind with this winter storm!


Officially, 5″ of snow is still on the ground in the Quad Cities.

The snowstorm earlier this week generally dropped 2″-6″, but several locations had 7″-10″.  However, the big winner was Grandview, Iowa, in Louisa County — 10.5″!

For the winter of 2017-2018 right now, the Quad Cities are running below average on snow.

18.3″ of snow has fallen, which is almost four inches below where it should be.  However, this is ahead of last winter at this time!

By the way,  more light snow is possible this weekend.


Major Winter Storm For Parts of Iowa

We’re down to the last week of January 2017 and we still haven’t had a measurable snow in the Quad Cities.

Our last sticking snow in the metro area was more than a month ago.  On December 17, 2016, 2.7″ of snow fell in Moline and 2.5″ accumulated in Davenport.

A winter storm moving out of the Plains today and across Iowa tomorrow will bring rain this afternoon.  This will be a wintry mix in our northern hometowns tonight and Wednesday.


By Wednesday afternoon, as this system moves to the Great Lakes, we’ll see a transition to all light snow for eastern Iowa and northern Illinois, especially Wednesday night.

Accumulations in our northern hometowns, around Galena, Illinois, and Maquoketa and Dubuque, Iowa, could be around an inch or two by Thursday morning.

As it looks now, the Quad Cities might see a dusting or so of snow by Thursday morning.

However, if you’re traveling to Waterloo, Iowa, 3-6″ of snow will fall there.  A “Winter Weather Advisory” goes into effect Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.


A “Winter Storm Warning” covers much of northern Iowa, where more than 6″ of snow will be falling.  Parts of northwestern Iowa could pick up a foot of snow!

After this storm, colder weather is on the for the rest of the week into the weekend.


Winter Storm To Worsen Monday

UPDATED POST:  Monday, December 28, 2015, 6:20 p.m.

Now that the wintry mix has transitioned over to all snow and temperatures are slowly starting to fall, the snow will quickly add up.

Earlier today, I was forecasting 1-3″ for the Quad Cities.  I think it’ll be on the higher end of that range and there could be some isolated 4″ totals.

Be safe this evening and early Tuesday morning on area roadways.


UPDATED POST:  Monday, December 28, 2015, 11:37 a.m.

Power outages are becoming more widespread as we head toward the noon hour with the winds really beginning to howl and shake the ice-coated limbs and power lines.

As of 11:30 a.m., more than 4,400 MidAmerican Energy customers are without electricity. Ameren Illinois is reporting about 6,500 customers in our area without power, but Peoria is the hardest hit with more than 12,000 customers in the dark!

Freezing rain, sleet, and snow is coating everything.  This is how my car looked in Rock Island around 10 a.m. after more than six hours of freezing rain and sleet.

Icy Car

Many reports of one-quarter to almost an inch of a freezing rain and sleet combination with almost two inches of snow covering the ground around Cedar Rapids.

More Ice

This is the radar around 10:25 a.m. this morning and it shows there’s still plenty of moisture heading toward the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys.

This will come down as a combination of freezing rain, sleet, snow, and rain this afternoon before changing to snow tonight.

Here’s how much of a snow and sleet mixture may accumulate before it ends early Tuesday morning.

Snow Forecast

Be safe out there today in this icy and dangerous mess.


ORIGINAL POST:  Monday, December 28, 2015, 4:38 a.m.

The much advertised winter storm is already glazing roadways, trees, and power lines across the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys.  This started late Sunday night and by the early morning hours, the wintry mix had reached the Quad Cities.


A “Winter Storm Warning” remains in effect for much of Monday and Monday night and runs through 6 a.m. Tuesday for most of us.  It expires this afternoon across the southeast around Galesburg, Illinois.

Here is how big the surge of moisture the storm has to with to produce freezing rain, sleet, snow, and rain.  This was 3 a.m. Monday morning.


Temperatures early this morning are already below or near the freezing mark and that will make the commute dangerous from Interstate 80 southward.

The northward progression will worsen driving conditions across the north throughout the morning.

As temperatures warm into the 30s today, the wintry mix could change over to rain, at times, in the Quad Cities and for several hours across the south and help to melt away some of the early morning ice.

However, as temperatures drop again this evening, the rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow combination will change to all snow and continue through part of the night.

On top of the more than one-quarter of an inch of ice, we could see snow accumulations of 1-5″.  One inch totals down around Galesburg, to 1-3″ in the Quad Cities, and maybe 3-5″ totals around Iowa City and Galena.

The higher totals (4-8″) will be well northwest of the Quad Cities.

Winter Details

If this wasn’t bad enough winds of 20-40 miles-per-hour and gusts to 50 will be whipping around the ice covered limbs and power lines causing power outages.

Much colder air arrives by the middle and end of the week with a little bit more light snow Wednesday.

Be careful out there today, tonight, and tomorrow.  This isn’t just a typical Midwestern winter storm with the ice.

Winter has returned.


At Least One More Snow Before Spring….

It’s March 10th and many of us are already looking forward to the warmer weather, green grass, spring flowers, and budding trees.

The last thing many of you want to think about is SNOW.  However, if you’re reading this from the Quad Cities, the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys, or anywhere nearby, we live in the Midwest and we have still have snow in March and April.  It may not last as long, but it still snows and accumulates.

I’m reporting in to you from Fort Dodge, Iowa, located in the northwestern part of the Hawkeye state.  It started snowing here this morning, but it didn’t amount to anymore than a dusting.  More is on the way across Iowa today.

For the Quad Cities, it’s going to be a rainy and mild day with highs around 40-45 degrees.  Later Sunday evening, that rain will mix with and change to snow for Sunday night.  Accumulations should not top 1-3″.

If you’re heading off toward Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, and central and western Iowa, accumulations will be in the 4-9″ range!

Many counties in the aforementioned heavier snow forecast areas have a “Winter Weather Advisory” and a “Winter Storm Warning” in effect.

After a chilly day Monday following the snow, temperatures will begin a warming trend Tuesday.

Be safe tonight and Monday and hold out for spring!



Happy Monday afternoon!  Quickly, I want to thank everyone that got up bright and early this morning to check me on CBS4 and for passing along nice comments!  I appreciate it.

For those that read my blog, all weekend long I was calling for 6″+ of snow as a starting point and I should have stuck to my guns.  It now appears that we’re in for another round of big accumulating snows later tonight and Tuesday.

The “Winter Weather Advisory” that was to go into effect later tonight and for most of Tuesday has been upgraded to a “Winter Storm Warning”.

Those far southern counties that didn’t have some form of watch or advisory are now under a “Winter Weather Advisory”.

Here are NOAA’s GFS forecast maps for 6 a.m. Tuesday (top left), noon Tuesday (top right), and 6 p.m. Tuesday.

What I want you to notice are a couple of things:  the low-pressure system over Kentucky is a very slow mover keeping the snow around our area all day!  And, the darker green colors indicate moderate to heavy, wind-blown snow!

That is why I’m increasing my snow totals.

Forecasting winter storms is exciting because Mother Nature likes to throw you a curve ball from time to time.  This is also why I wish I had stuck to my initial forecast from the weekend of 6″+ because many across the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys will easily see 6″+ of snow before it ends early Tuesday night.

The bottom line is that everyone will see moderate to heavy snow later tonight and Tuesday.

Our Next Snow

Check out my friend and colleague, Andy McCray, on CBS4 this evening at 5, 6, and 10 for the very latest on this winter storm.  And, of course, check me out tomorrow morning beginning at 5 a.m.

Now, I’m off to make dinner, spend time with Ray & Gretel, and watch “The Following” at 8 p.m. and then go to bed to get up at 1 a.m.


There’s No Business Like “Snow” Business

ORIGINAL POST:  Tuesday, February 26, 2013, 7:00 a.m.

You’ve heard the expression, stick with your original plan.

That’s what I should have done with the snow today and tomorrow.  As you recall (and, if not, I’ll remind you because you’ve heard all kinds of numbers and it can get confusing), all Sunday through most of Monday, I was calling for 3-5″ of snow for the Quad Cities and 5-7″ southeast of the metro area.  I lowered those projections by just two inches last evening when other meteorologists were giving up on the storm and calling for just a couple of inches of snow.

Boy, how things change!  The late Monday night computer model runs started generating more snow and that trend continues into Tuesday morning.  With that being said, the “Winter Weather Advisory” for the Quad Cities is now a “Winter Storm Warning” for today through early Wednesday morning.  That’s indicated on this map by pink and the “Winter Weather Advisory”, where lesser amounts of snow are expected is in purple.

As of this blog entry, around 7 a.m. Tuesday, light snow is already falling across parts of southeastern Iowa and west-central Illinois.  This will spread northward to the Quad Cities by mid-morning or by noon.

The snow will become heavy this morning in the south and in the afternoon in the metro area.

Our storm is located over Missouri early this morning and here are the GFS forecast maps for noon Tuesday, 6 p.m. Tuesday, and then six hours later at midnight.  The heaviest snows are indicated by darker greens and blues.

While the heaviest snow will fall today and start diminishing late tonight, we’re still going to see light snow Wednesday that could accumulate another inch or so.

Since I’ll be at work today and this is a personal blog and forecast, I will not be able to give you any more updates until this evening.  However, that’s not really an issue since this is my final forecast for this storm.  Yes, Meredith, that’s my final answer. 🙂

Here are my snow totals I expect to fall today through Wednesday evening.

Can many of you say “SNOW DAY”!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Kidding aside, this is going to be a dangerous winter storm.  In addition to the heavy snow falling today and this afternoon and evening, we’ll see blustery conditions with winds of 20-40 miles-per-hour giving us near white out conditions, at times.

This is especially bad in open areas where there’s nothing to stop the wind-blown snow.  Also, this is a problem for high-profile vehicles on the Interstate (i.e. semis).

Be careful!

I know many of you are wishing spring arrives soon.


T-Minus 24 Hours To Winter Storm

UPDATE:  Wednesday, February 20, 2013, 4:07 p.m.

Good Wednesday afternoon and evening, my friends.  Just a couple of small updates with tomorrow’s forecast based on the latest information coming in.

As expected, that “Winter Storm Watch” for much of Iowa and some of Illinois has been fine tuned.  Where the heaviest snow will fall across Iowa, it’s now a “Winter Storm Warning” (pink color) and for the Illinois counties (and some Iowa counties along the Mississippi), it’s now a “Winter Weather Advisory” (purple shading).

Also, the timing of the storm has slowed down again!  This means that snow before noon Thursday is unlikely other than a few flurries in the far south.  Snow will begin down across northern Missouri, southern Iowa, and west-central Illinois by late afternoon, and by evening in the Quad Cities.  Once the snow intensifies after dark, it’s really going to come down for about six hours.

This is the latest GFS forecast map for 6 p.m. Thursday.

The next three maps are for 9 p.m. Thursday, midnight, and 3 a.m. Friday.  The darkest greens and the blue is the moderate to heavy snow.

Okay, everyone, be safe and don’t freak out if these numbers are different from someone else’s. 🙂

Here’s what I wrote on Facebook today when that was addressed:  “A popular question when snowstorms approach: “Why can’t forecasters agree on totals?” Peeps’ soapbox answer: “Each station (and the NWS) has different forecasters and they each look at data and interpret it differently. Some will be right and some will be wrong. People should know who they trust and go with that forecaster’s amounts. It’s just like a television set — most people have them, but they don’t always turn them to the same channels and watch the same shows. Otherwise, there would be no need to have more than one channel to watch. The bottom line, regardless of who you believe, is that it’s going to snow tomorrow and it’s going to be a mess.” 🙂


ORIGINAL POST:  Wednesday, February 20, 2013, 8:49 a.m.

Hey there, did you hear that it’s going to snow Thursday afternoon into Friday?  I’m sure you’ve heard anything from a dusting to “eye-popping” totals!  And, I guess if you leave the range that open, the forecast is correct.

If you have errands to get done, today is a perfect day for that with sunny skies and cold temperatures.  Even with highs today expected to be in the 20-25° range, it’ll feel better than yesterday because of the lighter winds.

A “Winter Storm Watch” goes into effect Thursday afternoon into Friday morning for the counties shaded in blue on this map.  And, if you have travel plans to the west or southwest today or tomorrow, you can see that there’s quite a bit of pink (Winter Storm Warning) where the heaviest of snow will be falling with the next storm.

Thursday starts off innocent enough with just a few flurries or light snow developing southwest of the Quad Cities.  Snow will be gaining intensity by Thursday afternoon as it moves out of Missouri across Iowa and Illinois.

These forecast maps from the GFS model show the snow as it moves across the Midwest beginning at 6 p.m. Thursday.  The heaviest snow, maybe an inch or two per hour in some locations, is represented by darker greens.

These next maps move us ahead in three-hour intervals to 9 p.m. Thursday, midnight, and then 3 a.m. Friday.

By daybreak Friday, the heaviest of the snow will have already accumulated across the Mississippi and Illinois Valleys as the storm pushes into the Great Lakes.

Here are the snow totals that I expect from this storm.

The heaviest snow (6″+) will fall across Iowa. Along the Mississippi River, 3-6″ of snow is likely.

Jo Daviess County, Illinois, is tough because they are not under the “Winter Storm Watch”, but I still expect 3-6″ of snow in  the western part of the county and lesser amounts as you head east toward Stephenson County.

That’s a ballpark forecast.  That’s not to say that there won’t be isolated higher totals.  Yes, it’s possible that some locations in the 3-6″ range may see 7″ or that Freeport may see 4″ of snow rather than 1-3″.  That comes with the winter weather forecasting.

A few more things to consider as we head into this next winter storm:

  • Along with the snow, we’ll have winds of 15-30 miles-per-hour Thursday afternoon into Friday morning causing blowing snow and near white out conditions when the heaviest snow falls.
  • We’re still 24 hours away from the heaviest of the snow (as of this writing), so these totals could be altered again.
  • The “Winter Storm Watch” (blue shading) will likely be upgraded to a “Winter Storm Warning” for some areas, a “Winter Weather Advisory” or a “Snow Advisory” for others later today or early Thursday.

Have a great day and don’t buy all the milk.  But, I don’t need bread or toilet paper.   🙂